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New Zealand tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
1 Nov 2024 · Test
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathambowled · Akash Deep0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akash Deep | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Devon Conwaycaught · Shubman Gill · Washington Sundar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Washington Sundar | 22 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 46.81 |
 Will Youngcaught and bowled · Ravichandran Ashwin2 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 51 | 100 | 2 | 1 | 51.00 |
 |
| stumped · Rishabh Pant · b Ravichandran Ashwin |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 133.33 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Ravichandran Ashwin · Ravindra Jadeja 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ravichandran Ashwin · b Ravindra Jadeja | 21 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 47.73 |
|---|
 Tom Blundellbowled · Ravindra Jadeja1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipsbowled · Ravichandran Ashwin 1 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 26 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 185.71 |
|---|
 Ish Sodhicaught · Virat Kohli · Ravindra Jadeja1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Virat Kohli · b Ravindra Jadeja | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
 Matt Henrybowled · Ravindra Jadeja0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 10 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 62.50 |
|---|
 Ajaz Patelcaught · Akash Deep · Ravindra Jadeja0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Akash Deep · b Ravindra Jadeja | 8 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 34.78 |
|---|
 William O’Rourkenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 12 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akash Deep0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravichandran Ashwin1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 1 | 63 | 3 | 3.71 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 13.5 | 3 | 55 | 5 | 3.98 | 0 | 1 |
1-2 (Tom Latham, 0.5) · 2-39 (Devon Conway, 12.5) · 3-44 (Rachin Ravindra, 14.0) · 4-94 (Daryl Mitchell, 27.5) · 5-100 (Tom Blundell, 29.3) · 6-131 (Glenn Phillips, 32.5) · 7-148 (Ish Sodhi, 37.5) · 8-150 (Will Young, 39.0) · 9-171 (Matt Henry, 43.3) · 10-174 (Ajaz Patel, 45.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 15/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 18/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 19/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 24/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 26/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 28/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 34/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 35/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 39/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 44/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 45/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 49/3 |
| 17 | 2 | 51/3 |
| 18 | 11 | 62/3 |
| 19 | 5 | 67/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 70/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 72/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 74/3 |
| 23 | 10 | 84/3 |
| 24 | 1 | 85/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 89/3 |
| 26 | 1 | 90/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 93/3 |
| 28 | 5 | 98/4 |
| 29 | 1 | 99/4 |
| 30 | 2 | 101/5 |
| 31 | 7 | 108/5 |
| 32 | 11 | 119/5 |
| 33 | 12 | 131/6 |
| 34 | 0 | 131/6 |
| 35 | 8 | 139/6 |
| 36 | 6 | 145/6 |
| 37 | 3 | 148/6 |
| 38 | 0 | 148/7 |
| 39 | 2 | 150/8 |
| 40 | 12 | 162/8 |
| 41 | 6 | 168/8 |
| 42 | 2 | 170/8 |
| 43 | 1 | 171/8 |
| 44 | 0 | 171/9 |
| 45 | 0 | 171/9 |
| 46 | 3 | 174/10 |
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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