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Photo: G patkar
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
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New Zealand tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
1 Nov 2024 · Test
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Glenn Phillips | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 31.25 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Matt Henry | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajaz Patel | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| caught · Daryl Mitchell · b Ajaz Patel |
| 1 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 14.29 |
9 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Ajaz Patel | 64 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 112.28 |
|---|
| Sarfaraz Khancaught · Rachin Ravindra · Ajaz Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rachin Ravindra · b Ajaz Patel | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Ajaz Patel | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajaz Patel | 12 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 48.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Glenn Phillips | 8 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 27.59 |
|---|
| Akash Deepbowled · Glenn Phillips 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Glenn Phillips | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 12 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14.1 | 1 | 57 | 6 | 4.02 | 0 | 0 | |
| Glenn Phillips0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Rohit Sharma, 3.0) · 2-16 (Shubman Gill, 4.0) · 3-18 (Virat Kohli, 5.3) · 4-28 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 6.5) · 5-29 (Sarfaraz Khan, 7.1) · 6-71 (Ravindra Jadeja, 16.0) · 7-106 (Rishabh Pant, 21.4) · 8-121 (Ravichandran Ashwin, 28.4) · 9-121 (Akash Deep, 28.5) · 10-121 (Washington Sundar, 29.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 18/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 28/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 29/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 31/5 |
| 9 | 10 | 41/5 |
| 10 | 6 | 47/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 52/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 55/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 58/5 |
| 14 | 1 | 59/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 66/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 71/6 |
| 17 | 1 | 72/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 77/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 81/6 |
| 20 | 11 | 92/6 |
| 21 | 6 | 98/6 |
| 22 | 9 | 107/7 |
| 23 | 1 | 108/7 |
| 24 | 0 | 108/7 |
| 25 | 2 | 110/7 |
| 26 | 7 | 117/7 |
| 27 | 1 | 118/7 |
| 28 | 2 | 120/7 |
| 29 | 1 | 121/9 |
| 30 | 0 | 121/10 |
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.