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Sri Lanka tour of England · 2024 · Men
29 Aug 2024 · Test
Lord's · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nishan Madushkabowled · Chris Woakes 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Woakes | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 46.67 |
 Dimuth Karunaratnebowled · Oli Stone1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Oli Stone | 7 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 26.92 |
| Pathum Nissankacaught · Matthew Potts · Oli Stone 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Potts · b Oli Stone | 12 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Angelo Mathewsbowled · Matthew Potts3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Potts |
| 22 |
| 36 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 61.11 |
 Dinesh Chandimalcaught · Daniel Lawrence · Gus Atkinson3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Gus Atkinson | 23 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 69.70 |
|---|
| Dhananjaya de Silvacaught · Harry Brook · Matthew Potts 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Matthew Potts | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kamindu Mendiscaught · Chris Woakes · Gus Atkinson 8 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Chris Woakes · b Gus Atkinson | 74 | 120 | 8 | 3 | 61.67 |
|---|
| Milan Priyanathcaught · Jamie Smith · Chris Woakes 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Chris Woakes | 19 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 135.71 |
|---|
| Prabath Jayasuriyabowled · Shoaib Bashir 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shoaib Bashir | 8 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 17.39 |
|---|
| Lahiru Kumararun out · Ollie Pope · Oli Stone 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ollie Pope | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Asitha Fernandonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 13 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes4 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 1.62 | 1 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.3 | 2 | 40 | 2 | 4.71 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 13.0 | 0 | 70 | 2 | 5.38 | 0 | 1 |
 Matthew Potts4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 1.73 | 0 | 0 |
| Shoaib Bashir1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Nishan Madushka, 6.2) · 2-32 (Dimuth Karunaratne, 9.1) · 3-35 (Pathum Nissanka, 10.0) · 4-83 (Angelo Mathews, 20.1) · 5-83 (Dhananjaya de Silva, 20.4) · 6-87 (Dinesh Chandimal, 23.1) · 7-118 (Milan Priyanath, 29.0) · 8-153 (Prabath Jayasuriya, 44.0) · 9-195 (Lahiru Kumara, 55.0) · 10-196 (Kamindu Mendis, 55.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 13/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 18/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 21/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 24/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 32/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 35/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 36/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 45/3 |
| 13 | 0 | 45/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 54/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 56/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 61/3 |
| 17 | 0 | 61/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 69/3 |
| 19 | 3 | 72/3 |
| 20 | 11 | 83/3 |
| 21 | 0 | 83/5 |
| 22 | 0 | 83/5 |
| 23 | 4 | 87/5 |
| 24 | 14 | 101/6 |
| 25 | 5 | 106/6 |
| 26 | 3 | 109/6 |
| 27 | 1 | 110/6 |
| 28 | 5 | 115/6 |
| 29 | 3 | 118/7 |
| 30 | 6 | 124/7 |
| 31 | 0 | 124/7 |
| 32 | 4 | 128/7 |
| 33 | 1 | 129/7 |
| 34 | 7 | 136/7 |
| 35 | 5 | 141/7 |
| 36 | 1 | 142/7 |
| 37 | 1 | 143/7 |
| 38 | 2 | 145/7 |
| 39 | 5 | 150/7 |
| 40 | 0 | 150/7 |
| 41 | 0 | 150/7 |
| 42 | 1 | 151/7 |
| 43 | 1 | 152/7 |
| 44 | 1 | 153/8 |
| 45 | 1 | 154/8 |
| 46 | 1 | 155/8 |
| 47 | 2 | 157/8 |
| 48 | 1 | 158/8 |
| 49 | 1 | 159/8 |
| 50 | 7 | 166/8 |
| 51 | 1 | 167/8 |
| 52 | 9 | 176/8 |
| 53 | 7 | 183/8 |
| 54 | 0 | 183/8 |
| 55 | 12 | 195/9 |
| 56 | 1 | 196/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Angelo Mathews: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dimuth Karunaratne: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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