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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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ICC Women's T20 World Cup · 2026 · Women
17 Jun 2026 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
On 17 Jun 2026, Pakistan played South Africa at Edgbaston. Recorded result: South Africa won by 2 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.