PakistanversusSouth Africa

17 Jun 2026 · T20

Edgbaston · Venue photograph

Recorded result

South Africa won by 2 wickets

Pakistan20.0 overs126/9 South Africa16.5 overs127/8 Edgbaston ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

South Africa more likely to win

35%Pakistan65%South Africa

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, South Africa rate stronger than Pakistan (1,611 vs 1,483 on our results rating)
In the last 10 T20 internationals between these sides, Pakistan won 6 and South Africa won 4

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.