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South Africa Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2026 · Women
19 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Africa started on 91%; South Africa batted first.
South Africa's chances ranged from 49% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 51%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miané Smitcaught · K Chigora · B Biza 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · K Chigora · b B Biza | 30 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 136.36 |
| Faye Tunnicliffelbw · M Mavunga 6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b M Mavunga | 25 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 192.31 |
| Karabo Mesocaught · Sharne Mayers · Nyasha Gwanzura 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharne Mayers · b Nyasha Gwanzura | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| K Reynekenot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 34* | 31 | 3 | 0 | 109.68 |
 Laura Wolvaardtcaught · B Biza · K Chigora0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · B Biza · b K Chigora | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 0 |
| 77.78 |
| Anne Boschcaught · Kelis Ndhlovu · M Mavunga 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kelis Ndhlovu · b M Mavunga | 33 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Annerie Dercksenlbw · M Mavunga 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b M Mavunga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 20 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Mavunga0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 3 | 11.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Nomvelo Sibanda0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| K Chigora0 maidens · 10 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 10 | 0 |
| Nyasha Gwanzura0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 2 | 0 |
| B Biza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Francisca Chipare0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 5 | 0 |
1-37 (Faye Tunnicliffe, 3.5) · 2-69 (Karabo Meso, 8.0) · 3-69 (Miané Smit, 8.2) · 4-79 (Laura Wolvaardt, 10.3) · 5-154 (Anne Bosch, 19.3) · 6-164 (Annerie Dercksen, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 52/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 56/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 58/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 69/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 73/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 77/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 84/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 88/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 97/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 108/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 116/4 |
| 17 | 15 | 131/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 140/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 149/4 |
| 20 | 15 | 164/6 |
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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