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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
7 Jul 2024 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 46%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 3% to 46% during the match (Northamptonshire: 54% to 97%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graham Clarkcaught · Gus Miller · David Willey0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gus Miller · b David Willey | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Alex Leescaught · Lewis McManus · Ben Sanderson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b Ben Sanderson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ollie Robinsonbowled · Ben Sanderson0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Sanderson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Colin Ackermanncaught · David Willey · RA Weatherall4 fours · 4 sixes |
| caught · David Willey · b RA Weatherall |
| 70 |
| 52 |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| 134.62 |
 Ben Rainecaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · Ravi Bopara4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b Ravi Bopara | 20 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Ashton Turnercaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · Freddie Heldreich1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b Freddie Heldreich | 19 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 135.71 |
|---|
 Bas de Leedebowled · Freddie Heldreich0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Freddie Heldreich | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Michael Jonescaught · Ashton Agar · Freddie Heldreich0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Agar · b Freddie Heldreich | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ben Dwarshuiscaught · Lewis McManus · Ben Sanderson 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b Ben Sanderson | 24 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Callum Parkinsonbowled · Ben Sanderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Sanderson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Sowternot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Gus Miller0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravi Bopara0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Ashton Agar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Freddie Heldreich0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
| RA Weatherall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Alex Lees, 1.2) · 2-0 (Ollie Robinson, 1.4) · 3-4 (Graham Clark, 2.4) · 4-41 (Ben Raine, 7.3) · 5-82 (Ashton Turner, 12.3) · 6-90 (Bas de Leede, 14.4) · 7-90 (Michael Jones, 14.5) · 8-124 (Ben Dwarshuis, 18.2) · 9-124 (Callum Parkinson, 18.4) · 10-140 (Colin Ackermann, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/2 |
| 3 | 0 | 4/3 |
| 4 | 0 | 4/3 |
| 5 | 11 | 15/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 20/3 |
| 7 | 12 | 32/3 |
| 8 | 12 | 44/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 48/4 |
| 10 | 11 | 59/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 68/4 |
| 12 | 12 | 80/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 84/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 88/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 91/7 |
| 16 | 8 | 99/7 |
| 17 | 16 | 115/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 120/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 126/9 |
| 20 | 14 | 140/10 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Gus Miller: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Freddie Heldreich: Cavalryman · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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