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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
5 Sept 2024 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 56%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Northamptonshire: 0% to 53%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Vasconceloscaught · Josh Davey · Lewis Gregory 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Josh Davey · b Lewis Gregory | 30 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 125.00 |
| George Bartlettcaught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · Craig Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · b Craig Overton | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 David Willeycaught · Roelof van der Merwe · Jake Ball2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Roelof van der Merwe · b Jake Ball | 57 | 39 | 2 | 4 | 146.15 |
| Justin Broadcaught and bowled · Lewis Gregory 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Lewis Gregory | 29 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 161.11 |
| Saif Zaibcaught · Tom Abell · Lewis Gregory4 fours · 2 sixes |
| caught · Tom Abell · b Lewis Gregory |
| 32 |
| 16 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 200.00 |
 Ashton Agarnot out2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 28* | 11 | 2 | 2 | 254.55 |
|---|
| Lewis McManusnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Craig Overton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Josh Davey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Jake Ball0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 3 | 0 |
 Lewis Gregory0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Roelof van der Merwe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (George Bartlett, 0.5) · 2-68 (Ricardo Vasconcelos, 7.4) · 3-114 (Justin Broad, 12.3) · 4-151 (Saif Zaib, 16.0) · 5-159 (David Willey, 16.5)
Recorded target: 216 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 18 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 60/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 69/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 76/2 |
| 10 | 16 | 92/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 100/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 112/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 117/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 129/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 137/3 |
| 16 | 14 | 151/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 160/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 166/5 |
| 19 | 12 | 178/5 |
| 20 | 20 | 198/5 |
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Gus Miller: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Freddie Heldreich: Cavalryman · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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