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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
5 Sept 2024 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 56%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Northamptonshire: 0% to 53%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bantoncaught · George Bartlett · Saif Zaib 6 fours · 5 sixes | caught · George Bartlett · b Saif Zaib | 75 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 174.42 |
| Will Smeedcaught · Lewis McManus · David Willey 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b David Willey | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Tom Kohler-Cadmorecaught · Saif Zaib · Ben Sanderson2 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Saif Zaib · b Ben Sanderson | 63 | 43 | 2 | 5 | 146.51 |
 Sean Dicksonnot out4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 33* | 17 | 4 | 1 | 194.12 |
 |
| not out |
| 20* |
| 12 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 166.67 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 12 · wides: 4 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
 David Willey0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Jack White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashton Agar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 15.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Freddie Heldreich0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 2 |
| Justin Broad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Will Smeed, 1.5) · 2-135 (Tom Banton, 13.2) · 3-171 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 16.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 49/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 53/1 |
| 8 | 18 | 71/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 79/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 87/1 |
| 11 | 23 | 110/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 115/1 |
| 13 | 14 | 129/1 |
| 14 | 16 | 145/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 150/2 |
| 16 | 19 | 169/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 175/3 |
| 18 | 16 | 191/3 |
| 19 | 7 | 198/3 |
| 20 | 17 | 215/3 |
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Gus Miller: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Freddie Heldreich: Cavalryman · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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