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Asian Games Women's Cricket Competition · 2026 · Women
22 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 42%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Bangladesh: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawaal Zulfiqarcaught · Sobhana Mostary · Shorna Akter 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sobhana Mostary · b Shorna Akter | 17 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 62.96 |
| Gull Ferozabowled · Nahida Akter 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nahida Akter | 31 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 134.78 |
| Saira Jabeencaught · Sanjida Akter Meghla · Shorna Akter 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sanjida Akter Meghla · b Shorna Akter | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Ayesha Zafarbowled · Sanjida Akter Meghla 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sanjida Akter Meghla | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
| Eyman Fatimacaught · Shorna Akter · Ritu Moni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shorna Akter · b Ritu Moni | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Aliya Riazstumped · Nigar Sultana · Ritu Moni 1 fours · 2 sixes |
|---|
| stumped · Nigar Sultana · b Ritu Moni |
| 25 |
| 22 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 113.64 |
| Fatima Sanacaught · Dilara Akter · Nahida Akter 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Dilara Akter · b Nahida Akter | 45 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Tuba Hassanrun out · Nahida Akter · Nahida Akter 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nahida Akter | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Tasmia Rubabnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marufa Akter0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 1 |
| Sanjida Akter Meghla0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Rabeya Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Nahida Akter0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Shorna Akter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Ritu Moni0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-46 (Gull Feroza, 6.4) · 2-53 (Saira Jabeen, 8.0) · 3-60 (Shawaal Zulfiqar, 9.5) · 4-61 (Eyman Fatima, 10.3) · 5-67 (Ayesha Zafar, 11.4) · 6-134 (Aliya Riaz, 18.5) · 7-143 (Tuba Hassan, 19.3) · 8-145 (Fatima Sana, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 28/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 39/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 44/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 46/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 53/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 57/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 60/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 66/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 68/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 76/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 82/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 90/5 |
| 16 | 9 | 99/5 |
| 17 | 15 | 114/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 125/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 138/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 145/8 |
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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