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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
14 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Kuwait more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 24%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 6% to 87% during the match (Kuwait: 13% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravija Sandaruwancaught · Fiaz Ahmed · Imran Anwar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fiaz Ahmed · b Imran Anwar | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
| Clinto Antobowled · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rizwan Butt | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Adnan Idreescaught · P Kurup · Imran Anwar 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Kurup · b Imran Anwar | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Meet Bhavsarcaught · Fiaz Ahmed · Imran Khan (5) 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fiaz Ahmed · b Imran Khan (5) | 27 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 84.38 |
| Mohomad Aslamcaught · P Kurup · Imran Anwar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Kurup · b Imran Anwar | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
| caught · Fiaz Ahmed · b Abdul Majeed |
| 16 |
| 23 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 69.57 |
| Muhammad Umarcaught · Muhammad Salman · Haider Butt 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Muhammad Salman · b Haider Butt | 21 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Bilal Tahircaught · P Kurup · Sarfaraz Ali 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · P Kurup · b Sarfaraz Ali | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Sayed Monibbowled · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Rizwan Butt | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeqrun out · P Kurup, Haider Butt · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · P Kurup, Haider Butt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Mirza Ahmednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizwan Butt2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Khan (5)0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 4 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarfaraz Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 8.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Haider Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 19.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Ravija Sandaruwan, 2.0) · 2-7 (Clinto Anto, 2.2) · 3-19 (Adnan Idrees, 4.0) · 4-31 (Mohomad Aslam, 7.3) · 5-65 (Meet Bhavsar, 12.5) · 6-83 (Yasin Patel, 16.0) · 7-98 (Muhammad Umar, 17.4) · 8-112 (Sayed Monib, 18.2) · 9-115 (Mohamed Shafeeq, 18.5) · 10-121 (Bilal Tahir, 19.3)
Recorded target: 126 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 7/2 |
| 4 | 12 | 19/3 |
| 5 | 1 | 20/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 25/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 27/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 36/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 41/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 46/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 50/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 57/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 65/5 |
| 14 | 7 | 72/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 80/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 83/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 91/6 |
| 18 | 19 | 110/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 115/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 121/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.