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Photo: Electricmaster
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
4 Jan 2025 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Renegades started on 49%; Melbourne Renegades batted first.
Melbourne Renegades's chances ranged from 7% to 81% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 19% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 4 Jan 2025, Melbourne Renegades played Melbourne Stars at Melbourne Cricket Ground. Recorded result: Melbourne Stars won by 5 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.