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Photo: Jshecket
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2025/26 · Men
19 Jan 2026 · T20
Boland Park, Paarl · Venue photographRecorded result
Joburg Super Kings started on 40%; Joburg Super Kings batted first.
Joburg Super Kings's chances ranged from 27% to 100% during the match (Paarl Royals: 0% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LG Pretoriuscaught · N Timmers · Imran Tahir 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Timmers · b Imran Tahir | 32 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 128.00 |
| Asa Tribebowled · Prenelan Subrayen 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Prenelan Subrayen | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
 Daniel Lawrencebowled · Akeal Hosein1 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Akeal Hosein | 45 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 155.17 |
| Rubin Hermanncaught · Leus du Plooy · Wiaan Mulder 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b Wiaan Mulder | 14 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 82.35 |
| Delano Potgieterlbw · Imran Tahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Imran Tahir |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.00 |
 Sikandar Razacaught · Wiaan Mulder · Prenelan Subrayen0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Prenelan Subrayen | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Bjorn Fortuinbowled · Nandre Burger 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nandre Burger | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| N Mokoenacaught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · Nandre Burger 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · b Nandre Burger | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Ottniel Baartmannot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Waqar Khanbowled · Prenelan Subrayen 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Prenelan Subrayen | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akeal Hosein0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Nandre Burger0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Prenelan Subrayen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 4.42 | 0 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 2 | 0 |
 Imran Tahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Asa Tribe, 3.0) · 2-46 (LG Pretorius, 6.4) · 3-81 (Rubin Hermann, 11.3) · 4-82 (Delano Potgieter, 12.1) · 5-100 (Sikandar Raza, 14.2) · 6-107 (Bjorn Fortuin, 15.2) · 7-113 (Daniel Lawrence, 16.2) · 8-117 (N Mokoena, 17.3) · 9-122 (Waqar Khan, 18.1)
Absent hurt: DA Miller
Recorded target: 167 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 33/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 56/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 60/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 71/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 76/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 82/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 85/4 |
| 14 | 15 | 100/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 103/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 111/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 115/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 122/8 |
| 19 | 0 | 122/9 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Imran Tahir: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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