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Photo: Jshecket
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2025/26 · Men
19 Jan 2026 · T20
Boland Park, Paarl · Venue photographRecorded result
Joburg Super Kings started on 40%; Joburg Super Kings batted first.
Joburg Super Kings's chances ranged from 27% to 100% during the match (Paarl Royals: 0% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Timmerslbw · Sikandar Raza 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sikandar Raza | 39 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 105.41 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bjorn Fortuin | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Daniel Lawrence · Waqar Khan 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Waqar Khan | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 117.39 |
| M De Villierscaught · Asa Tribe · Waqar Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b Waqar Khan | 27 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 117.39 |
| not out |
| 54* |
| 27 |
| 5 |
| 3 |
| 200.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b N Mokoena | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Dian Forresternot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 7* | 2 | 0 | 1 | 350.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bjorn Fortuin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| N Mokoena0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Ottniel Baartman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Waqar Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (James Vince, 0.3) · 2-50 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 7.3) · 3-74 (N Timmers, 11.0) · 4-119 (M De Villiers, 16.3) · 5-132 (Wiaan Mulder, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 39/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 44/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 52/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 59/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 67/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 74/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 77/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 86/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 95/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 106/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 117/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 120/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 132/5 |
| 19 | 23 | 155/5 |
| 20 | 11 | 166/5 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Imran Tahir: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.