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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
8 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Nepal more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nepal started on 55%; Nepal batted first.
Nepal's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Kuwait: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinto Antorun out · Dipendra Singh Airee · Dipendra Singh Airee 0 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Dipendra Singh Airee | 26 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 113.04 |
| Ravija Sandaruwanbowled · Sompal Kami 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sompal Kami | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Meet Bhavsarcaught · Sundeep Jora · Lalit Rajbanshi 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sundeep Jora · b Lalit Rajbanshi | 11 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 91.67 |
| Usman Patelbowled · Nandan Yadav 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nandan Yadav | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Yasin Patelcaught · Sundeep Jora · Rohit Kumar 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sundeep Jora · b Rohit Kumar | 19 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 70.37 |
| caught · Kushal Bhurtel · b Rohit Kumar |
| 7 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Bilal Tahircaught · Kushal Malla · Sandeep Lamichhane 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kushal Malla · b Sandeep Lamichhane | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Shiraz Khancaught · Aasif Sheikh · Lalit Rajbanshi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aasif Sheikh · b Lalit Rajbanshi | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| NT Rajendranlbw · Sandeep Lamichhane 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sandeep Lamichhane | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Anudeep Chenthamaranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
|---|
| Muhammad Aqif Farooqcaught · Dipendra Singh Airee · Kushal Bhurtel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dipendra Singh Airee · b Kushal Bhurtel | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sompal Kami0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nandan Yadav0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Lalit Rajbanshi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Sandeep Lamichhane1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Dipendra Singh Airee0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Kushal Bhurtel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5.14 | 0 | 0 |
 Rohit Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Ravija Sandaruwan, 0.4) · 2-20 (Meet Bhavsar, 3.5) · 3-21 (Usman Patel, 4.3) · 4-56 (Clinto Anto, 9.3) · 5-67 (Mohomad Aslam, 11.3) · 6-74 (Yasin Patel, 13.4) · 7-76 (Bilal Tahir, 14.2) · 8-76 (NT Rajendran, 14.3) · 9-82 (Shiraz Khan, 17.1) · 10-83 (Muhammad Aqif Farooq, 18.1)
Recorded target: 142 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 20/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 24/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 31/3 |
| 7 | 10 | 41/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 45/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 54/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 57/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 63/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 67/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 71/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 76/6 |
| 15 | 0 | 76/8 |
| 16 | 2 | 78/8 |
| 17 | 4 | 82/8 |
| 18 | 1 | 83/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 83/10 |
Gulsan Jha: Elison Pokhrel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sompal Kami: सरोज कुमार ढकाल · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sandeep Lamichhane: Deshsanchar · CC BY 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Bhurtel: Kushal Bhurtel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dipendra Singh Airee: Dipendra Singh Airee · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Malla: Hamro Khelkud · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
