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Bangladesh tour of Sri Lanka · 2025 · Men
25 Jun 2025 · Test
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankacaught · Anamul Haque · Taijul Islam 19 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anamul Haque · b Taijul Islam | 158 | 254 | 19 | 0 | 62.20 |
| Lahiru Udaralbw · Taijul Islam 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Taijul Islam | 40 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 61.54 |
 Dinesh Chandimalcaught · Litton Das · Nayeem Hasan10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Nayeem Hasan | 93 | 153 | 10 | 1 | 60.78 |
| Prabath Jayasuriyacaught · Mehedi Hasan · Nahid Rana 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mehedi Hasan · b Nahid Rana | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 25.64 |
| Dhananjaya de Silva |
| lbw · b Taijul Islam |
| 7 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 70.00 |
| Kamindu Mendisbowled · Nayeem Hasan 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nayeem Hasan | 33 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 80.49 |
|---|
| Kusal Mendisrun out · Litton Das, Ebadat Hossain · Taijul Islam 8 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Litton Das, Ebadat Hossain | 84 | 87 | 8 | 2 | 96.55 |
|---|
| Sonal Dinushabowled · Nayeem Hasan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nayeem Hasan | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 68.75 |
|---|
| Tharindu Ratnayakecaught · Anamul Haque · Taijul Islam 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Anamul Haque · b Taijul Islam | 10 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Vishwa Fernandonot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.38 |
|---|
| Asitha Fernandocaught · Shadman Islam · Taijul Islam 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadman Islam · b Taijul Islam | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebadat Hossain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 3.93 | 0 | 0 |
 Taijul Islam4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 42.5 | 4 | 131 | 5 | 3.06 | 0 | 0 |
 Nahid Rana1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 20.0 | 1 | 94 | 1 | 4.70 | 1 | 1 |
 Mehedi Hasan1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 1 | 75 | 0 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Nayeem Hasan4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 4 | 87 | 3 | 4.83 | 0 | 0 |
 Mominul Haque0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-88 (Lahiru Udara, 23.3) · 2-282 (Dinesh Chandimal, 75.1) · 3-305 (Pathum Nissanka, 83.1) · 4-313 (Dhananjaya de Silva, 85.5) · 5-335 (Prabath Jayasuriya, 89.0) · 6-384 (Kamindu Mendis, 98.5) · 7-406 (Sonal Dinusha, 104.4) · 8-429 (Tharindu Ratnayake, 111.3) · 9-458 (Kusal Mendis, 116.1) · 10-458 (Asitha Fernando, 116.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 31/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 41/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 44/0 |
| 9 | 10 | 54/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 55/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 59/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 59/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 61/0 |
| 14 | 1 | 62/0 |
| 15 | 3 | 65/0 |
| 16 | 4 | 69/0 |
| 17 | 4 | 73/0 |
| 18 | 1 | 74/0 |
| 19 | 4 | 78/0 |
| 20 | 2 | 80/0 |
| 21 | 3 | 83/0 |
| 22 | 3 | 86/0 |
| 23 | 2 | 88/0 |
| 24 | 0 | 88/1 |
| 25 | 6 | 94/1 |
| 26 | 8 | 102/1 |
| 27 | 7 | 109/1 |
| 28 | 7 | 116/1 |
| 29 | 15 | 131/1 |
| 30 | 2 | 133/1 |
| 31 | 0 | 133/1 |
| 32 | 0 | 133/1 |
| 33 | 1 | 134/1 |
| 34 | 3 | 137/1 |
| 35 | 2 | 139/1 |
| 36 | 3 | 142/1 |
| 37 | 2 | 144/1 |
| 38 | 1 | 145/1 |
| 39 | 2 | 147/1 |
| 40 | 9 | 156/1 |
| 41 | 1 | 157/1 |
| 42 | 7 | 164/1 |
| 43 | 1 | 165/1 |
| 44 | 1 | 166/1 |
| 45 | 2 | 168/1 |
| 46 | 3 | 171/1 |
| 47 | 6 | 177/1 |
| 48 | 6 | 183/1 |
| 49 | 7 | 190/1 |
| 50 | 0 | 190/1 |
| 51 | 1 | 191/1 |
| 52 | 2 | 193/1 |
| 53 | 3 | 196/1 |
| 54 | 5 | 201/1 |
| 55 | 2 | 203/1 |
| 56 | 1 | 204/1 |
| 57 | 5 | 209/1 |
| 58 | 1 | 210/1 |
| 59 | 4 | 214/1 |
| 60 | 1 | 215/1 |
| 61 | 1 | 216/1 |
| 62 | 2 | 218/1 |
| 63 | 5 | 223/1 |
| 64 | 1 | 224/1 |
| 65 | 9 | 233/1 |
| 66 | 3 | 236/1 |
| 67 | 2 | 238/1 |
| 68 | 5 | 243/1 |
| 69 | 5 | 248/1 |
| 70 | 12 | 260/1 |
| 71 | 1 | 261/1 |
| 72 | 6 | 267/1 |
| 73 | 4 | 271/1 |
| 74 | 6 | 277/1 |
| 75 | 5 | 282/1 |
| 76 | 0 | 282/2 |
| 77 | 1 | 283/2 |
| 78 | 7 | 290/2 |
| 79 | 4 | 294/2 |
| 80 | 0 | 294/2 |
| 81 | 3 | 297/2 |
| 82 | 3 | 300/2 |
| 83 | 5 | 305/2 |
| 84 | 1 | 306/3 |
| 85 | 2 | 308/3 |
| 86 | 6 | 314/4 |
| 87 | 8 | 322/4 |
| 88 | 2 | 324/4 |
| 89 | 11 | 335/5 |
| 90 | 2 | 337/5 |
| 91 | 5 | 342/5 |
| 92 | 9 | 351/5 |
| 93 | 9 | 360/5 |
| 94 | 5 | 365/5 |
| 95 | 5 | 370/5 |
| 96 | 7 | 377/5 |
| 97 | 3 | 380/5 |
| 98 | 4 | 384/5 |
| 99 | 0 | 384/6 |
| 100 | 3 | 387/6 |
| 101 | 11 | 398/6 |
| 102 | 3 | 401/6 |
| 103 | 0 | 401/6 |
| 104 | 3 | 404/6 |
| 105 | 2 | 406/7 |
| 106 | 3 | 409/7 |
| 107 | 1 | 410/7 |
| 108 | 5 | 415/7 |
| 109 | 1 | 416/7 |
| 110 | 9 | 425/7 |
| 111 | 4 | 429/7 |
| 112 | 0 | 429/8 |
| 113 | 9 | 438/8 |
| 114 | 7 | 445/8 |
| 115 | 11 | 456/8 |
| 116 | 1 | 457/8 |
| 117 | 1 | 458/10 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Vishwa Fernando: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Anamul Haque: Pro-Vc AIUB · CC BY 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nayeem Hasan: IqbalHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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