OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Aravind Sivaraj
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Men's T20 Asia Cup · 2025 · Men
23 Sept 2025 · T20
Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sri Lanka started on 39%; Sri Lanka batted first.
Sri Lanka's chances ranged from 0% to 40% during the match (Pakistan: 61% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankacaught · Mohammad Haris · Shaheen Afridi 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Haris · b Shaheen Afridi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 114.29 |
| Kusal Mendiscaught · Hussain Talat · Shaheen Afridi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hussain Talat · b Shaheen Afridi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kushal Janith Pereracaught · Fahim Ashraf · Haris Rauf 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Fahim Ashraf · b Haris Rauf | 15 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 125.00 |
| Charith Asalankacaught · Haris Rauf · Hussain Talat 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Haris Rauf · b Hussain Talat | 20 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 105.26 |
| Kamindu Mendislbw · Shaheen Afridi 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Shaheen Afridi | 50 | 44 | 3 | 2 | 113.64 |
| Dasun Shanakacaught · Mohammad Haris · Hussain Talat 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Haris · b Hussain Talat | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Wanindu Hasarangabowled · Abrar Ahmed2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abrar Ahmed | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 115.38 |
|---|
 Chamika Karunaratnenot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 21 | 2 | 0 | 80.95 |
|---|
| Dushmantha Chameeracaught · Salman Ali Agha · Haris Rauf 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Haris Rauf | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Mahesh Theekshananot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shaheen Afridi0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Fahim Ashraf0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Haris Rauf0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Salman Ali Agha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hussain Talat0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Abrar Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Kusal Mendis, 0.2) · 2-18 (Pathum Nissanka, 2.2) · 3-43 (Kushal Janith Perera, 5.2) · 4-58 (Charith Asalanka, 7.2) · 5-58 (Dasun Shanaka, 7.3) · 6-80 (Wanindu Hasaranga, 12.1) · 7-123 (Kamindu Mendis, 18.4) · 8-130 (Dushmantha Chameera, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 16 | 28/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 36/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 39/2 |
| 6 | 14 | 53/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 58/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 62/5 |
| 9 | 3 | 65/5 |
| 10 | 5 | 70/5 |
| 11 | 2 | 72/5 |
| 12 | 8 | 80/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 82/6 |
| 14 | 5 | 87/6 |
| 15 | 1 | 88/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 97/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 105/6 |
| 18 | 13 | 118/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 125/7 |
| 20 | 8 | 133/8 |
Wanindu Hasaranga: 04 ATM 04 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Chamika Karunaratne: Point of Pavithra · CC BY 3.0
Fakhar Zaman: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}