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Photo: Ranadipam Basu
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South Africa tour of Bangladesh · 2024/25 · Men
21 Oct 2024 · Test
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony de Zorzicaught · Hasan Mahmud · Taijul Islam 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hasan Mahmud · b Taijul Islam | 41 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 78.85 |
 Aiden Markrambowled · Taijul Islam4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taijul Islam | 20 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 74.07 |
| Tristan Stubbsnot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 30* | 37 | 4 | 1 | 81.08 |
| David Bedinghamcaught · Litton Das · Taijul Islam 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Taijul Islam | 12 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 92.31 |
| not out |
| 1* |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hasan Mahmud2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 2.40 | 0 | 0 |
 Taijul Islam1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 1 | 43 | 3 | 3.91 | 0 | 0 |
 Mehedi Hasan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Nayeem Hasan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Mominul Haque0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-42 (Aiden Markram, 9.5) · 2-71 (Tony de Zorzi, 15.1) · 3-97 (David Bedingham, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 24/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 29/0 |
| 9 | 8 | 37/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 42/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 51/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 56/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 60/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 62/1 |
| 15 | 9 | 71/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 72/2 |
| 17 | 11 | 83/2 |
| 18 | 4 | 87/2 |
| 19 | 9 | 96/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 97/3 |
| 21 | 7 | 104/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 106/3 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nayeem Hasan: IqbalHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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