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West Indies tour of England · 2024 · Men
26 Jul 2024 · Test
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaitecaught · Jamie Smith · Mark Wood8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Mark Wood | 61 | 86 | 8 | 0 | 70.93 |
| Mikyle Louiscaught · Jamie Smith · Gus Atkinson 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Gus Atkinson | 26 | 61 | 4 | 0 | 42.62 |
| Kirk McKenziebowled · Mark Wood 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mark Wood | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Alick Athanazebowled · Gus Atkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gus Atkinson | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| bowled · b Chris Woakes |
| 13 |
| 11 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 118.18 |
 Jason Holderbowled · Gus Atkinson6 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Gus Atkinson | 59 | 112 | 6 | 1 | 52.68 |
|---|
 Joshua Da Silvacaught · Jamie Smith · Chris Woakes3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Chris Woakes | 49 | 99 | 3 | 0 | 49.49 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephcaught · Ben Stokes · Chris Woakes 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Stokes · b Chris Woakes | 15 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 48.39 |
|---|
| Gudakesh Motiecaught · Joe Root · Gus Atkinson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Gus Atkinson | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 15 | 1 | 0 | 46.67 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephcaught · Zak Crawley · Shoaib Bashir 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Shoaib Bashir | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 106.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 1 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes3 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 18.0 | 3 | 69 | 3 | 3.83 | 0 | 2 |
| Gus Atkinson1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 1 | 67 | 4 | 3.35 | 1 | 0 |
 Mark Wood2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 52 | 2 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Stokes0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 2.64 | 0 | 1 |
| Shoaib Bashir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.1 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 5.41 | 0 | 0 |
1-76 (Mikyle Louis, 21.5) · 2-93 (Kirk McKenzie, 24.3) · 3-97 (Alick Athanaze, 26.0) · 4-115 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 28.5) · 5-115 (Kavem Hodge, 29.1) · 6-224 (Joshua Da Silva, 62.0) · 7-244 (Alzarri Joseph, 68.0) · 8-246 (Jason Holder, 68.5) · 9-259 (Gudakesh Motie, 70.2) · 10-282 (Shamar Joseph, 75.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 14/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 16/0 |
| 9 | 8 | 24/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 29/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 37/0 |
| 12 | 7 | 44/0 |
| 13 | 3 | 47/0 |
| 14 | 1 | 48/0 |
| 15 | 1 | 49/0 |
| 16 | 1 | 50/0 |
| 17 | 2 | 52/0 |
| 18 | 4 | 56/0 |
| 19 | 4 | 60/0 |
| 20 | 8 | 68/0 |
| 21 | 6 | 74/0 |
| 22 | 2 | 76/1 |
| 23 | 4 | 80/1 |
| 24 | 12 | 92/1 |
| 25 | 1 | 93/2 |
| 26 | 4 | 97/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 103/3 |
| 28 | 7 | 110/3 |
| 29 | 5 | 115/4 |
| 30 | 4 | 119/5 |
| 31 | 0 | 119/5 |
| 32 | 4 | 123/5 |
| 33 | 2 | 125/5 |
| 34 | 4 | 129/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 130/5 |
| 36 | 2 | 132/5 |
| 37 | 4 | 136/5 |
| 38 | 1 | 137/5 |
| 39 | 1 | 138/5 |
| 40 | 1 | 139/5 |
| 41 | 1 | 140/5 |
| 42 | 1 | 141/5 |
| 43 | 1 | 142/5 |
| 44 | 7 | 149/5 |
| 45 | 5 | 154/5 |
| 46 | 2 | 156/5 |
| 47 | 2 | 158/5 |
| 48 | 7 | 165/5 |
| 49 | 5 | 170/5 |
| 50 | 11 | 181/5 |
| 51 | 2 | 183/5 |
| 52 | 8 | 191/5 |
| 53 | 3 | 194/5 |
| 54 | 1 | 195/5 |
| 55 | 12 | 207/5 |
| 56 | 2 | 209/5 |
| 57 | 1 | 210/5 |
| 58 | 3 | 213/5 |
| 59 | 0 | 213/5 |
| 60 | 4 | 217/5 |
| 61 | 3 | 220/5 |
| 62 | 4 | 224/6 |
| 63 | 1 | 225/6 |
| 64 | 6 | 231/6 |
| 65 | 5 | 236/6 |
| 66 | 1 | 237/6 |
| 67 | 1 | 238/6 |
| 68 | 6 | 244/7 |
| 69 | 2 | 246/8 |
| 70 | 9 | 255/8 |
| 71 | 7 | 262/9 |
| 72 | 6 | 268/9 |
| 73 | 2 | 270/9 |
| 74 | 8 | 278/9 |
| 75 | 4 | 282/9 |
| 76 | 0 | 282/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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