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West Indies tour of England · 2024 · Men
26 Jul 2024 · Test
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Jason Holder · Jayden Seales3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Holder · b Jayden Seales | 18 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 138.46 |
 Ben Duckettbowled · Alzarri Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alzarri Joseph | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Mark Woodcaught · Jason Holder · Jayden Seales0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Holder · b Jayden Seales | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| bowled · b Shamar Joseph |
| 10 |
| 20 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
 Joe Rootlbw · Gudakesh Motie7 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gudakesh Motie | 87 | 124 | 7 | 0 | 70.16 |
|---|
 Harry Brookcaught · Joshua Da Silva · Jayden Seales0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Da Silva · b Jayden Seales | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Ben Stokescaught · Kraigg Brathwaite · Alzarri Joseph5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kraigg Brathwaite · b Alzarri Joseph | 54 | 69 | 5 | 1 | 78.26 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithbowled · Shamar Joseph12 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 95 | 109 | 12 | 1 | 87.16 |
|---|
 Chris Woakescaught · Kraigg Brathwaite · Alzarri Joseph7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kraigg Brathwaite · b Alzarri Joseph | 62 | 78 | 7 | 0 | 79.49 |
|---|
| Gus Atkinsoncaught · Gudakesh Motie · Alzarri Joseph 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Gudakesh Motie · b Alzarri Joseph | 21 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 131.25 |
|---|
| Shoaib Bashirnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 10 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 1 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alzarri Joseph2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.4 | 2 | 122 | 4 | 6.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Seales1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 1 | 79 | 3 | 4.16 | 1 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph0 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 13.0 | 0 | 63 | 2 | 4.85 | 0 | 3 |
 Jason Holder0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 4.43 | 0 | 0 |
| Gudakesh Motie2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 2 | 61 | 1 | 3.21 | 0 | 0 |
1-29 (Zak Crawley, 4.0) · 2-29 (Ben Duckett, 4.1) · 3-31 (Mark Wood, 6.0) · 4-51 (Ollie Pope, 10.5) · 5-54 (Harry Brook, 11.5) · 6-169 (Ben Stokes, 35.2) · 7-231 (Joe Root, 48.2) · 8-337 (Jamie Smith, 69.2) · 9-363 (Chris Woakes, 73.3) · 10-376 (Gus Atkinson, 75.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 30/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 31/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 38/3 |
| 8 | 0 | 38/3 |
| 9 | 1 | 39/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 43/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 51/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 54/5 |
| 13 | 1 | 55/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 60/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 72/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 74/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 80/5 |
| 18 | 2 | 82/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 88/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 94/5 |
| 21 | 7 | 101/5 |
| 22 | 4 | 105/5 |
| 23 | 5 | 110/5 |
| 24 | 5 | 115/5 |
| 25 | 0 | 115/5 |
| 26 | 2 | 117/5 |
| 27 | 2 | 119/5 |
| 28 | 7 | 126/5 |
| 29 | 7 | 133/5 |
| 30 | 8 | 141/5 |
| 31 | 9 | 150/5 |
| 32 | 6 | 156/5 |
| 33 | 1 | 157/5 |
| 34 | 10 | 167/5 |
| 35 | 2 | 169/5 |
| 36 | 5 | 174/6 |
| 37 | 4 | 178/6 |
| 38 | 13 | 191/6 |
| 39 | 1 | 192/6 |
| 40 | 2 | 194/6 |
| 41 | 10 | 204/6 |
| 42 | 2 | 206/6 |
| 43 | 2 | 208/6 |
| 44 | 2 | 210/6 |
| 45 | 5 | 215/6 |
| 46 | 3 | 218/6 |
| 47 | 10 | 228/6 |
| 48 | 3 | 231/6 |
| 49 | 0 | 231/7 |
| 50 | 5 | 236/7 |
| 51 | 7 | 243/7 |
| 52 | 9 | 252/7 |
| 53 | 3 | 255/7 |
| 54 | 1 | 256/7 |
| 55 | 3 | 259/7 |
| 56 | 6 | 265/7 |
| 57 | 1 | 266/7 |
| 58 | 3 | 269/7 |
| 59 | 5 | 274/7 |
| 60 | 2 | 276/7 |
| 61 | 8 | 284/7 |
| 62 | 3 | 287/7 |
| 63 | 17 | 304/7 |
| 64 | 11 | 315/7 |
| 65 | 1 | 316/7 |
| 66 | 9 | 325/7 |
| 67 | 2 | 327/7 |
| 68 | 9 | 336/7 |
| 69 | 1 | 337/7 |
| 70 | 4 | 341/8 |
| 71 | 6 | 347/8 |
| 72 | 11 | 358/8 |
| 73 | 1 | 359/8 |
| 74 | 4 | 363/9 |
| 75 | 1 | 364/9 |
| 76 | 12 | 376/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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