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West Indies tour of England · 2024 · Men
26 Jul 2024 · Test
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaitebowled · Chris Woakes0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Woakes | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mikyle Louiscaught · Zak Crawley · Ben Stokes 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Ben Stokes | 57 | 95 | 4 | 2 | 60.00 |
| Kirk McKenziecaught · Jamie Smith · Gus Atkinson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Gus Atkinson | 8 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 44.44 |
| Alick Athanazelbw · Shoaib Bashir 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shoaib Bashir | 12 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 27.91 |
| caught · Jamie Smith · b Mark Wood |
| 55 |
| 76 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 72.37 |
 Jason Holderlbw · Gus Atkinson2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gus Atkinson | 12 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 70.59 |
|---|
 Joshua Da Silvalbw · Mark Wood0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mark Wood | 5 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 18.52 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephbowled · Mark Wood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mark Wood | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Gudakesh Motienot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47.06 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesbowled · Mark Wood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mark Wood | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephcaught · Harry Brook · Mark Wood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Mark Wood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 3.11 | 0 | 2 |
| Shoaib Bashir1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 1 | 41 | 1 | 2.73 | 0 | 0 |
 Mark Wood1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 1 | 40 | 5 | 2.86 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Stokes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 1.0) · 2-22 (Kirk McKenzie, 5.4) · 3-53 (Alick Athanaze, 20.4) · 4-125 (Mikyle Louis, 33.4) · 5-146 (Jason Holder, 39.0) · 6-156 (Joshua Da Silva, 45.4) · 7-162 (Alzarri Joseph, 47.5) · 8-171 (Kavem Hodge, 51.1) · 9-171 (Jayden Seales, 51.4) · 10-175 (Shamar Joseph, 52.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 19/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 23/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 23/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 24/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 25/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 26/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 27/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 30/2 |
| 13 | 0 | 30/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 33/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 39/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 40/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 46/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 47/2 |
| 20 | 6 | 53/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 57/3 |
| 22 | 5 | 62/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 64/3 |
| 24 | 11 | 75/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 78/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 80/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 82/3 |
| 28 | 10 | 92/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 96/3 |
| 30 | 7 | 103/3 |
| 31 | 9 | 112/3 |
| 32 | 6 | 118/3 |
| 33 | 6 | 124/3 |
| 34 | 3 | 127/4 |
| 35 | 1 | 128/4 |
| 36 | 8 | 136/4 |
| 37 | 5 | 141/4 |
| 38 | 4 | 145/4 |
| 39 | 1 | 146/5 |
| 40 | 2 | 148/5 |
| 41 | 3 | 151/5 |
| 42 | 1 | 152/5 |
| 43 | 2 | 154/5 |
| 44 | 1 | 155/5 |
| 45 | 1 | 156/5 |
| 46 | 1 | 157/6 |
| 47 | 1 | 158/6 |
| 48 | 5 | 163/7 |
| 49 | 5 | 168/7 |
| 50 | 1 | 169/7 |
| 51 | 2 | 171/7 |
| 52 | 4 | 175/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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