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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Jun 2025 · T20
New Road, Worcester · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 53%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Worcestershire: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ed Pollockcaught · Saif Zaib · Luke Procter3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saif Zaib · b Luke Procter | 22 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 169.23 |
| Brett D'Oliveiracaught · Saif Zaib · Ben Sanderson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saif Zaib · b Ben Sanderson | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Kashif Alicaught · Lewis McManus · Ben Sanderson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b Ben Sanderson | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
 Adam Hosecaught · David Willey · Saif Zaib2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · David Willey · b Saif Zaib |
| 27 |
| 21 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 128.57 |
| Ethan Brookescaught · David Willey · Lloyd Pope 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Willey · b Lloyd Pope | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 115.38 |
|---|
 Gareth Roderickbowled · George Scrimshaw2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b George Scrimshaw | 29 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 131.82 |
|---|
| Ben Dwarshuiscaught and bowled · Ben Sanderson 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ben Sanderson | 26 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 152.94 |
|---|
| Tom Hinleycaught · David Willey · Ben Sanderson 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · David Willey · b Ben Sanderson | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 190.91 |
|---|
 Fateh Singhnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Adam Finchcaught · David Willey · Ben Sanderson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Willey · b Ben Sanderson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jacob Duffycaught · Lewis McManus · Ben Sanderson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b Ben Sanderson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Procter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 12.67 | 0 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-13 (Brett D'Oliveira, 1.4) · 2-21 (Kashif Ali, 3.2) · 3-35 (Ed Pollock, 4.5) · 4-69 (Ethan Brookes, 8.4) · 5-90 (Adam Hose, 12.0) · 6-121 (Gareth Roderick, 15.2) · 7-158 (Tom Hinley, 18.1) · 8-159 (Ben Dwarshuis, 18.4) · 9-159 (Adam Finch, 18.5) · 10-159 (Jacob Duffy, 19.0)
Recorded target: 191 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 23/2 |
| 5 | 15 | 38/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 43/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 51/3 |
| 8 | 14 | 65/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 70/4 |
| 10 | 11 | 81/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 86/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 90/5 |
| 13 | 12 | 102/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 106/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 115/5 |
| 16 | 16 | 131/6 |
| 17 | 12 | 143/6 |
| 18 | 15 | 158/6 |
| 19 | 1 | 159/10 |
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Luke Procter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fateh Singh: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ed Pollock: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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