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Bangladesh tour of Australia · 2026 · Men
13 Aug 2026 · Test
Recorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Travis Headbowled · Hasan Mahmud3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 17 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 48.57 |
| Jake Weatheraldbowled · Hasan Mahmud 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Marnus Labuschagnebowled · Taijul Islam2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taijul Islam | 31 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 52.54 |
 Steve Smith |
| caught and bowled · b Mehedi Hasan |
| 44 |
| 88 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
 Cameron Greenbowled · Hasan Mahmud4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 104 | 201 | 4 | 1 | 51.74 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Litton Das · Mehedi Hasan5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Mehedi Hasan | 30 | 72 | 5 | 0 | 41.67 |
|---|
 Beau Websterbowled · Mehedi Hasan1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mehedi Hasan | 5 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 23.81 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminscaught · Shadman Islam · Mehedi Hasan0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadman Islam · b Mehedi Hasan | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starccaught · Litton Das · Taskin Ahmed2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Taskin Ahmed | 18 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyonlbw · Mehedi Hasan0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mehedi Hasan | 15 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 0 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Taskin Ahmed3 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 18.0 | 3 | 66 | 1 | 3.67 | 0 | 4 |
 Hasan Mahmud3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 3 | 56 | 3 | 2.95 | 0 | 0 |
| Ebadat Hossain0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 1 |
 Taijul Islam1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 1 | 51 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Mehedi Hasan6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 33.1 | 6 | 66 | 5 | 1.99 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Jake Weatherald, 1.3) · 2-37 (Travis Head, 10.2) · 3-73 (Marnus Labuschagne, 20.0) · 4-122 (Steve Smith, 37.2) · 5-178 (Alex Carey, 59.3) · 6-193 (Beau Webster, 66.0) · 7-207 (Pat Cummins, 74.0) · 8-250 (Mitchell Starc, 86.5) · 9-278 (Cameron Green, 92.5) · 10-284 (Nathan Lyon, 95.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 12/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 20/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 22/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 25/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 27/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 36/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 38/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 40/2 |
| 13 | 0 | 40/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 46/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 48/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 51/2 |
| 18 | 9 | 60/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 66/2 |
| 20 | 7 | 73/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 76/3 |
| 22 | 1 | 77/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 79/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 83/3 |
| 25 | 9 | 92/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 94/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 100/3 |
| 28 | 3 | 103/3 |
| 29 | 0 | 103/3 |
| 30 | 1 | 104/3 |
| 31 | 7 | 111/3 |
| 32 | 0 | 111/3 |
| 33 | 2 | 113/3 |
| 34 | 3 | 116/3 |
| 35 | 2 | 118/3 |
| 36 | 0 | 118/3 |
| 37 | 3 | 121/3 |
| 38 | 3 | 124/4 |
| 39 | 3 | 127/4 |
| 40 | 1 | 128/4 |
| 41 | 7 | 135/4 |
| 42 | 1 | 136/4 |
| 43 | 1 | 137/4 |
| 44 | 2 | 139/4 |
| 45 | 1 | 140/4 |
| 46 | 0 | 140/4 |
| 47 | 5 | 145/4 |
| 48 | 1 | 146/4 |
| 49 | 4 | 150/4 |
| 50 | 0 | 150/4 |
| 51 | 1 | 151/4 |
| 52 | 5 | 156/4 |
| 53 | 5 | 161/4 |
| 54 | 4 | 165/4 |
| 55 | 1 | 166/4 |
| 56 | 0 | 166/4 |
| 57 | 5 | 171/4 |
| 58 | 2 | 173/4 |
| 59 | 4 | 177/4 |
| 60 | 1 | 178/5 |
| 61 | 3 | 181/5 |
| 62 | 2 | 183/5 |
| 63 | 4 | 187/5 |
| 64 | 1 | 188/5 |
| 65 | 4 | 192/5 |
| 66 | 1 | 193/6 |
| 67 | 2 | 195/6 |
| 68 | 0 | 195/6 |
| 69 | 1 | 196/6 |
| 70 | 2 | 198/6 |
| 71 | 2 | 200/6 |
| 72 | 2 | 202/6 |
| 73 | 4 | 206/6 |
| 74 | 1 | 207/7 |
| 75 | 5 | 212/7 |
| 76 | 4 | 216/7 |
| 77 | 0 | 216/7 |
| 78 | 3 | 219/7 |
| 79 | 5 | 224/7 |
| 80 | 4 | 228/7 |
| 81 | 1 | 229/7 |
| 82 | 4 | 233/7 |
| 83 | 7 | 240/7 |
| 84 | 3 | 243/7 |
| 85 | 1 | 244/7 |
| 86 | 1 | 245/7 |
| 87 | 6 | 251/8 |
| 88 | 6 | 257/8 |
| 89 | 6 | 263/8 |
| 90 | 4 | 267/8 |
| 91 | 7 | 274/8 |
| 92 | 2 | 276/8 |
| 93 | 2 | 278/9 |
| 94 | 4 | 282/9 |
| 95 | 2 | 284/9 |
| 96 | 0 | 284/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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