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Bangladesh tour of Australia · 2026 · Men
13 Aug 2026 · Test
Recorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Travis Headbowled · Hasan Mahmud3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 22 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 56.41 |
| Jake Weatheraldcaught · Litton Das · Hasan Mahmud 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Hasan Mahmud | 23 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 62.16 |
 Marnus Labuschagnecaught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · Ebadat Hossain0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · b Ebadat Hossain | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 5.00 |
 |
| caught · Litton Das · b Hasan Mahmud |
| 71 |
| 109 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 65.14 |
 Cameron Greencaught · Mushfiqur Rahim · Taskin Ahmed0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mushfiqur Rahim · b Taskin Ahmed | 13 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Alex Careybowled · Ebadat Hossain2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ebadat Hossain | 19 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 44.19 |
|---|
 Beau Websterbowled · Taskin Ahmed2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taskin Ahmed | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminscaught · Litton Das · Hasan Mahmud1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Hasan Mahmud | 9 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 47.37 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starccaught · Litton Das · Hasan Mahmud0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Hasan Mahmud | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyoncaught · Tanzid Hasan · Hasan Mahmud1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tanzid Hasan · b Hasan Mahmud | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53.85 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Taskin Ahmed2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 55 | 2 | 3.44 | 0 | 1 |
 Hasan Mahmud3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 3 | 55 | 6 | 3.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Ebadat Hossain2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 11.0 | 2 | 39 | 2 | 3.55 | 0 | 2 |
 Mehedi Hasan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Taijul Islam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 |
1-45 (Jake Weatherald, 11.4) · 2-52 (Travis Head, 13.4) · 3-61 (Marnus Labuschagne, 18.2) · 4-74 (Cameron Green, 22.0) · 5-129 (Alex Carey, 36.1) · 6-152 (Beau Webster, 38.3) · 7-172 (Pat Cummins, 44.3) · 8-176 (Mitchell Starc, 46.5) · 9-189 (Steve Smith, 50.5) · 10-198 (Nathan Lyon, 53.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 19/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 23/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 31/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 31/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 35/0 |
| 11 | 10 | 45/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 45/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 46/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 52/2 |
| 15 | 0 | 52/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 55/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 56/2 |
| 18 | 4 | 60/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 64/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 67/3 |
| 21 | 1 | 68/3 |
| 22 | 6 | 74/4 |
| 23 | 2 | 76/4 |
| 24 | 0 | 76/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 80/4 |
| 26 | 1 | 81/4 |
| 27 | 5 | 86/4 |
| 28 | 7 | 93/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 97/4 |
| 30 | 1 | 98/4 |
| 31 | 9 | 107/4 |
| 32 | 6 | 113/4 |
| 33 | 9 | 122/4 |
| 34 | 4 | 126/4 |
| 35 | 2 | 128/4 |
| 36 | 1 | 129/4 |
| 37 | 9 | 138/5 |
| 38 | 13 | 151/5 |
| 39 | 3 | 154/6 |
| 40 | 3 | 157/6 |
| 41 | 5 | 162/6 |
| 42 | 1 | 163/6 |
| 43 | 4 | 167/6 |
| 44 | 4 | 171/6 |
| 45 | 1 | 172/7 |
| 46 | 4 | 176/7 |
| 47 | 0 | 176/8 |
| 48 | 7 | 183/8 |
| 49 | 5 | 188/8 |
| 50 | 1 | 189/8 |
| 51 | 0 | 189/9 |
| 52 | 8 | 197/9 |
| 53 | 1 | 198/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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