OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
10 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Jersey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Jersey started on 62%; Jersey batted first.
Jersey's chances ranged from 51% to 100% during the match (Belgium: 0% to 49%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Muneebcaught · Zak Tribe · Daniel Birrell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Tribe · b Daniel Birrell | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Aziz Mohammadbowled · Nick Greenwood 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Nick Greenwood | 8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 80.00 |
| A Razarun out · Charlie Brennan · Daniel Birrell 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Charlie Brennan | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| B Niazcaught · Daniel Birrell · Charles Perchard 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Daniel Birrell · b Charles Perchard | 29 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 193.33 |
| Shaheryar Buttcaught · Zak Tribe · Benjamin Ward 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Tribe · b Benjamin Ward | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| caught · Nick Greenwood · b Benjamin Ward |
| 0 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Saber Zakhilcaught · Charlie Brennan · Nick Greenwood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Charlie Brennan · b Nick Greenwood | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Khalid Ahmadicaught · Charles Perchard · Benjamin Ward 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Charles Perchard · b Benjamin Ward | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| D Dewaldstumped · Jake Dunford · Benjamin Ward 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jake Dunford · b Benjamin Ward | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Sajad Ahmadzainot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 28 | 0 | 0 | 39.29 |
|---|
| Muhammad Fahimnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 19 | 0 | 1 | 68.42 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Birrell0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Julius Sumerauer0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Nick Greenwood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Charles Perchard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin Ward0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Asa Tribe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zak Tribe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Muhammad Muneeb, 0.2) · 2-6 (A Raza, 1.0) · 3-40 (Aziz Mohammad, 4.2) · 4-46 (B Niaz, 5.3) · 5-47 (Sheraz Sheikh, 6.2) · 6-56 (Shaheryar Butt, 8.3) · 7-61 (Khalid Ahmadi, 10.2) · 8-63 (Saber Zakhil, 11.3) · 9-67 (D Dewald, 13.0)
Recorded target: 199 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/2 |
| 2 | 9 | 15/2 |
| 3 | 12 | 27/2 |
| 4 | 13 | 40/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 42/3 |
| 6 | 4 | 46/4 |
| 7 | 3 | 49/5 |
| 8 | 3 | 52/5 |
| 9 | 5 | 57/6 |
| 10 | 4 | 61/6 |
| 11 | 1 | 62/7 |
| 12 | 2 | 64/8 |
| 13 | 3 | 67/9 |
| 14 | 3 | 70/9 |
| 15 | 3 | 73/9 |
| 16 | 1 | 74/9 |
| 17 | 2 | 76/9 |
| 18 | 8 | 84/9 |
| 19 | 2 | 86/9 |
| 20 | 4 | 90/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.