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Photo: Jgritz~commonswiki (Commons uploader; file has no author field)
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
16 Dec 2025 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 41%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 1% to 62% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 38% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gilkescaught · Chris Jordan · Billy Stanlake 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Billy Stanlake | 20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 285.71 |
2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Billy Stanlake | 28 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 112.00 |
| Cameron Bancroftbowled · Billy Stanlake 4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Billy Stanlake | 61 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 138.64 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Jordan | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Oliver Davies |
| bowled · b Chris Jordan |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nikhil Chaudhary · b Nathan Ellis | 34 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 141.67 |
|---|
1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 23* | 11 | 1 | 1 | 209.09 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 11.25 | 2 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Matthew Gilkes, 2.0) · 2-69 (Sam Konstas, 7.4) · 3-77 (Sam Billings, 9.2) · 4-79 (Oliver Davies, 10.0) · 5-138 (Cameron Bancroft, 16.5) · 6-176 (Shadab Khan, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 24/1 |
| 3 | 15 | 39/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 46/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 52/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 62/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 66/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 71/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 76/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 79/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 86/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 94/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 102/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 112/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 118/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 130/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 139/5 |
| 18 | 17 | 156/5 |
| 19 | 12 | 168/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 180/6 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Billy Stanlake: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.