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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
16 Dec 2025 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 41%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 1% to 62% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 38% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Owencaught · Daniel Sams · Tanveer Sangha 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Daniel Sams · b Tanveer Sangha | 32 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 228.57 |
| Nikhil Chaudharycaught · B Nikitaras · Chris Green 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · B Nikitaras · b Chris Green | 41 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 132.26 |
| Ben McDermottbowled · Shadab Khan 1 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Shadab Khan | 38 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 158.33 |
| Tim Davidcaught · Chris Green · Daniel Sams 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chris Green · b Daniel Sams | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 188.89 |
 Matthew Wadecaught · Sam Billings · Nathan McAndrew2 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Sam Billings · b Nathan McAndrew |
| 25 |
| 16 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 156.25 |
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · Cameron Bancroft · Shadab Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Bancroft · b Shadab Khan | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Chris Jordannot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 13 | 1 | 0 | 123.08 |
|---|
| Nathan Ellisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Reece Topley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 9.13 | 1 | 1 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanveer Sangha0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
 Shadab Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-48 (Mitchell Owen, 4.3) · 2-109 (Nikhil Chaudhary, 11.0) · 3-124 (Ben McDermott, 12.4) · 4-141 (Tim David, 13.5) · 5-151 (Rehan Ahmed, 15.3) · 6-168 (Matthew Wade, 18.1)
Recorded target: 181 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 37/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 47/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 50/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 57/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 75/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 84/1 |
| 10 | 14 | 98/1 |
| 11 | 11 | 109/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 113/2 |
| 13 | 16 | 129/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 141/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 149/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 153/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 159/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 168/5 |
| 19 | 9 | 177/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 181/6 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Billy Stanlake: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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