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Photo: Jgritz~commonswiki (Commons uploader; file has no author field)
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
1 Jan 2026 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 40%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Wardcaught · Cooper Connolly · Ashton Agar 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Cooper Connolly · b Ashton Agar | 27 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 158.82 |
| Mitchell Owencaught · Cooper Connolly · Joel Paris 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cooper Connolly · b Joel Paris | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Macalister Wrightcaught · Finn Allen · Brody Couch 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Finn Allen · b Brody Couch | 16 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 123.08 |
| Ben McDermottbowled · Aaron Hardie 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Aaron Hardie | 18 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Nikhil Chaudharycaught · Joel Paris · Cooper Connolly 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Joel Paris · b Cooper Connolly | 31 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 206.67 |
 Matthew Wadecaught · Cooper Connolly · Ashton Agar2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Cooper Connolly · b Ashton Agar | 29 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 207.14 |
|---|
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · Mitchell Marsh · Aaron Hardie2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitchell Marsh · b Aaron Hardie | 18 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Chris Jordancaught · Ashton Agar · Joel Paris0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Agar · b Joel Paris | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Ellisnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 12 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Rishad Hossaincaught · Mitchell Marsh · Ashton Agar2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Marsh · b Ashton Agar | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Riley Meredithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Connolly0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Joel Paris0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaron Hardie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mahli Beardman0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 0 | 1 |
 Ashton Agar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Brody Couch0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Mitchell Owen, 2.0) · 2-38 (Tim Ward, 4.4) · 3-62 (Macalister Wright, 7.3) · 4-70 (Ben McDermott, 8.3) · 5-126 (Nikhil Chaudhary, 12.2) · 6-131 (Matthew Wade, 13.1) · 7-150 (Rehan Ahmed, 15.3) · 8-160 (Chris Jordan, 17.1) · 9-183 (Rishad Hossain, 19.2)
Recorded target: 230 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 36/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 18 | 61/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 66/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 76/4 |
| 10 | 12 | 88/4 |
| 11 | 19 | 107/4 |
| 12 | 19 | 126/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 131/5 |
| 14 | 11 | 142/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 149/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 155/7 |
| 17 | 5 | 160/7 |
| 18 | 12 | 172/8 |
| 19 | 10 | 182/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 189/9 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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