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Photo: Jgritz~commonswiki (Commons uploader; file has no author field)
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
1 Jan 2026 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 40%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Marshcaught · Ben McDermott · Nathan Ellis11 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Ben McDermott · b Nathan Ellis | 102 | 58 | 11 | 5 | 175.86 |
| Finn Allenbowled · Nathan Ellis 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Ellis | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Cooper Connollycaught and bowled · Mitchell Owen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mitchell Owen | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Aaron Hardienot out 9 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 94* | 43 | 9 | 5 | 218.60 |
 Ashton Turner |
| not out |
| 1* |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 61 | 0 | 15.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Rishad Hossain0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell Owen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Rehan Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Finn Allen, 2.3) · 2-53 (Cooper Connolly, 5.1) · 3-217 (Mitchell Marsh, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 28/1 |
| 4 | 18 | 46/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 53/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 57/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 61/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 68/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 71/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 80/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 92/2 |
| 12 | 26 | 118/2 |
| 13 | 12 | 130/2 |
| 14 | 22 | 152/2 |
| 15 | 17 | 169/2 |
| 16 | 12 | 181/2 |
| 17 | 14 | 195/2 |
| 18 | 8 | 203/2 |
| 19 | 14 | 217/2 |
| 20 | 12 | 229/3 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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