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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
2 Sept 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 47%; Namibia batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Nadeemcaught · Malan Kruger · Bernard Scholtz 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Malan Kruger · b Bernard Scholtz | 23 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 56.10 |
| Dilpreet Bajwacaught · Zane Green · Gerhard Erasmus 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zane Green · b Gerhard Erasmus | 26 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 76.47 |
| Pargat Singhstumped · Zane Green · Bernard Scholtz 4 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Zane Green · b Bernard Scholtz | 40 | 50 | 4 | 1 | 80.00 |
| Mansab Gillbowled · Bernard Scholtz 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bernard Scholtz | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Nicholas Kirtoncaught · Gerhard Erasmus · JJ Smit 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b JJ Smit | 46 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 104.55 |
Namibia's chances ranged from 43% to 98% during the match (Canada: 2% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Shreyas Movvacaught · Malan Kruger · Tangeni Lungameni 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Malan Kruger · b Tangeni Lungameni |
| 20 |
| 37 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 54.05 |
 Saad Bin Zafarbowled · Ruben Trumpelmann3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 30 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 96.77 |
|---|
| Jaskaran Singhbowled · Bernard Scholtz 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bernard Scholtz | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Akhil Kumarcaught · Gerhard Erasmus · JJ Smit 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b JJ Smit | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Shivam Sharma (3)not out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Kaleem Sanacaught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · JJ Smit 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · b JJ Smit | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Smit0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.3 | 0 | 40 | 3 | 4.21 | 2 | 0 |
| Ruben Trumpelmann1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 4.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Tangeni Lungameni0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 6.17 | 5 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 51 | 1 | 5.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 31 | 4 | 3.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-58 (Ali Nadeem, 11.5) · 2-58 (Dilpreet Bajwa, 12.4) · 3-61 (Mansab Gill, 15.5) · 4-146 (Nicholas Kirton, 29.1) · 5-163 (Pargat Singh, 33.3) · 6-199 (Shreyas Movva, 40.2) · 7-204 (Jaskaran Singh, 42.0) · 8-223 (Saad Bin Zafar, 45.3) · 9-231 (Akhil Kumar, 46.4) · 10-237 (Kaleem Sana, 48.3)
Recorded target: 262 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 15/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 27/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 33/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 39/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 45/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 49/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 53/0 |
| 12 | 5 | 58/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 58/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 60/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 61/2 |
| 16 | 0 | 61/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 62/3 |
| 18 | 4 | 66/3 |
| 19 | 12 | 78/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 86/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 89/3 |
| 22 | 11 | 100/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 106/3 |
| 24 | 0 | 106/3 |
| 25 | 14 | 120/3 |
| 26 | 3 | 123/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 129/3 |
| 28 | 2 | 131/3 |
| 29 | 15 | 146/3 |
| 30 | 3 | 149/4 |
| 31 | 0 | 149/4 |
| 32 | 7 | 156/4 |
| 33 | 6 | 162/4 |
| 34 | 5 | 167/5 |
| 35 | 7 | 174/5 |
| 36 | 3 | 177/5 |
| 37 | 9 | 186/5 |
| 38 | 3 | 189/5 |
| 39 | 2 | 191/5 |
| 40 | 8 | 199/5 |
| 41 | 4 | 203/6 |
| 42 | 1 | 204/7 |
| 43 | 3 | 207/7 |
| 44 | 5 | 212/7 |
| 45 | 9 | 221/7 |
| 46 | 6 | 227/8 |
| 47 | 5 | 232/9 |
| 48 | 3 | 235/9 |
| 49 | 2 | 237/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
