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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
2 Sept 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 47%; Namibia batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Pierre Kotzelbw · Shivam Sharma (3) 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shivam Sharma (3) | 38 | 67 | 3 | 0 | 56.72 |
 Malan Krugercaught · Nicholas Kirton · Jaskaran Singh4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nicholas Kirton · b Jaskaran Singh | 80 | 132 | 4 | 1 | 60.61 |
| Jan Frylinckcaught · Akhil Kumar · Pargat Singh 1 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Akhil Kumar · b Pargat Singh | 60 | 52 | 1 | 5 | 115.38 |
| Gerhard Erasmuscaught · Shivam Sharma (3) · Akhil Kumar 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shivam Sharma (3) · b Akhil Kumar | 18 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 128.57 |
| JJ Smitcaught · Dilpreet Bajwa · Akhil Kumar 1 fours · 0 sixes |
Namibia's chances ranged from 43% to 98% during the match (Canada: 2% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Dilpreet Bajwa · b Akhil Kumar |
| 10 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 83.33 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · Pargat Singh · Jaskaran Singh 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Pargat Singh · b Jaskaran Singh | 24 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 218.18 |
|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmannbowled · Jaskaran Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jaskaran Singh | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Zane Greencaught · Shivam Sharma (3) · Akhil Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shivam Sharma (3) · b Akhil Kumar | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| DO Leichernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Bernard Scholtznot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 16 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleem Sana0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 5.11 | 3 | 0 |
| Jaskaran Singh0 maidens · 12 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 71 | 3 | 7.10 | 12 | 0 |
| Akhil Kumar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 47 | 3 | 4.70 | 0 | 0 |
 Saad Bin Zafar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shivam Sharma (3)0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Pargat Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-75 (Jean-Pierre Kotze, 20.2) · 2-175 (Jan Frylinck, 39.2) · 3-212 (Gerhard Erasmus, 43.5) · 4-216 (Malan Kruger, 44.3) · 5-239 (JJ Smit, 47.1) · 6-240 (Ruben Trumpelmann, 48.1) · 7-255 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 49.0) · 8-257 (Zane Green, 49.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 16/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 17/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 18/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 22/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 25/0 |
| 11 | 9 | 34/0 |
| 12 | 10 | 44/0 |
| 13 | 7 | 51/0 |
| 14 | 3 | 54/0 |
| 15 | 8 | 62/0 |
| 16 | 3 | 65/0 |
| 17 | 1 | 66/0 |
| 18 | 1 | 67/0 |
| 19 | 3 | 70/0 |
| 20 | 4 | 74/0 |
| 21 | 3 | 77/1 |
| 22 | 4 | 81/1 |
| 23 | 1 | 82/1 |
| 24 | 2 | 84/1 |
| 25 | 3 | 87/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 89/1 |
| 27 | 13 | 102/1 |
| 28 | 4 | 106/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 107/1 |
| 30 | 4 | 111/1 |
| 31 | 2 | 113/1 |
| 32 | 3 | 116/1 |
| 33 | 2 | 118/1 |
| 34 | 5 | 123/1 |
| 35 | 13 | 136/1 |
| 36 | 9 | 145/1 |
| 37 | 4 | 149/1 |
| 38 | 9 | 158/1 |
| 39 | 17 | 175/1 |
| 40 | 3 | 178/2 |
| 41 | 10 | 188/2 |
| 42 | 10 | 198/2 |
| 43 | 7 | 205/2 |
| 44 | 8 | 213/3 |
| 45 | 7 | 220/4 |
| 46 | 6 | 226/4 |
| 47 | 13 | 239/4 |
| 48 | 1 | 240/5 |
| 49 | 15 | 255/7 |
| 50 | 6 | 261/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
