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Pakistan tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Men
26 Dec 2024 · Test
Centurion Park · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saim Ayubbowled · Kagiso Rabada 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kagiso Rabada | 27 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 75.00 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · Tristan Stubbs · Marco Jansen4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tristan Stubbs · b Marco Jansen | 28 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 59.57 |
 Mohammad Babar Azamcaught · Corbin Bosch · Marco Jansen9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Corbin Bosch · b Marco Jansen | 50 | 85 | 9 | 0 | 58.82 |
| Kamran Ghulamcaught · Ryan Rickelton · Marco Jansen 1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Marco Jansen |
| 4 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
 Saud Shakeellbw · Marco Jansen10 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Marco Jansen | 84 | 113 | 10 | 1 | 74.34 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Kyle Verreynne · Marco Jansen0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Marco Jansen | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Kyle Verreynne · Marco Jansen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Marco Jansen | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Aamer Jamalcaught · Ryan Rickelton · Dane Paterson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Dane Paterson | 18 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 56.25 |
|---|
 Naseem Shahcaught · Tristan Stubbs · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tristan Stubbs · b Kagiso Rabada | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Khurram Shehzadnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 18 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Abbascaught · Aiden Markram · Corbin Bosch0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Corbin Bosch | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 0 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 68 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 2 |
| Corbin Bosch1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.4 | 1 | 54 | 1 | 4.63 | 0 | 0 |
 Dane Paterson3 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 18.0 | 3 | 55 | 1 | 3.06 | 0 | 2 |
 Marco Jansen3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 14.0 | 3 | 52 | 6 | 3.71 | 0 | 1 |
1-49 (Saim Ayub, 10.3) · 2-70 (Shan Masood, 16.3) · 3-74 (Kamran Ghulam, 18.5) · 4-153 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 36.5) · 5-172 (Mohammad Rizwan, 41.0) · 6-176 (Salman Ali Agha, 42.1) · 7-208 (Aamer Jamal, 49.5) · 8-209 (Naseem Shah, 50.4) · 9-236 (Saud Shakeel, 56.4) · 10-237 (Mohammad Abbas, 59.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 30/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 39/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 41/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 42/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 43/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 48/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 50/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 52/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 59/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 60/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 62/1 |
| 16 | 6 | 68/1 |
| 17 | 2 | 70/2 |
| 18 | 0 | 70/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 74/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 75/3 |
| 21 | 9 | 84/3 |
| 22 | 4 | 88/3 |
| 23 | 0 | 88/3 |
| 24 | 1 | 89/3 |
| 25 | 9 | 98/3 |
| 26 | 5 | 103/3 |
| 27 | 9 | 112/3 |
| 28 | 0 | 112/3 |
| 29 | 1 | 113/3 |
| 30 | 4 | 117/3 |
| 31 | 5 | 122/3 |
| 32 | 10 | 132/3 |
| 33 | 4 | 136/3 |
| 34 | 4 | 140/3 |
| 35 | 6 | 146/3 |
| 36 | 6 | 152/3 |
| 37 | 4 | 156/4 |
| 38 | 3 | 159/4 |
| 39 | 3 | 162/4 |
| 40 | 1 | 163/4 |
| 41 | 9 | 172/5 |
| 42 | 4 | 176/5 |
| 43 | 1 | 177/6 |
| 44 | 7 | 184/6 |
| 45 | 11 | 195/6 |
| 46 | 1 | 196/6 |
| 47 | 1 | 197/6 |
| 48 | 2 | 199/6 |
| 49 | 3 | 202/6 |
| 50 | 6 | 208/7 |
| 51 | 1 | 209/8 |
| 52 | 3 | 212/8 |
| 53 | 3 | 215/8 |
| 54 | 5 | 220/8 |
| 55 | 7 | 227/8 |
| 56 | 9 | 236/8 |
| 57 | 0 | 236/9 |
| 58 | 0 | 236/9 |
| 59 | 0 | 236/9 |
| 60 | 1 | 237/10 |
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Dane Paterson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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