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Pakistan tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Men
26 Dec 2024 · Test
Centurion Park · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shan Masoodcaught · Marco Jansen · Corbin Bosch2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Corbin Bosch | 17 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 29.31 |
| Saim Ayubcaught · Kyle Verreynne · Dane Paterson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Dane Paterson | 14 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 40.00 |
 Mohammad Babar Azamcaught · Aiden Markram · Dane Paterson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Dane Paterson | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 36.36 |
| Kamran Ghulamcaught · Kagiso Rabada · Dane Paterson8 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Kagiso Rabada · b Dane Paterson |
| 54 |
| 71 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 76.06 |
 Saud Shakeelcaught · Kyle Verreynne · Corbin Bosch3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Corbin Bosch | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 233.33 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Aiden Markram · Dane Paterson2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Dane Paterson | 27 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 43.55 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Ryan Rickelton · Dane Paterson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Dane Paterson | 18 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
| Aamer Jamalbowled · Corbin Bosch 4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Corbin Bosch | 28 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 103.70 |
|---|
 Naseem Shahcaught · Kagiso Rabada · Corbin Bosch0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kagiso Rabada · b Corbin Bosch | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Khurram Shehzadcaught · Dane Paterson · Marco Jansen 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dane Paterson · b Marco Jansen | 11 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 68.75 |
|---|
 Mohammad Abbasnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 28 | 1 | 0 | 35.71 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 0 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Marco Jansen1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.3 | 1 | 43 | 1 | 3.44 | 0 | 0 |
 Dane Paterson4 maidens · 0 wides · 5 no-balls | 16.0 | 4 | 61 | 5 | 3.81 | 0 | 5 |
| Corbin Bosch4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 4 | 63 | 4 | 4.20 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Shan Masood, 14.1) · 2-40 (Saim Ayub, 15.4) · 3-41 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 17.2) · 4-56 (Saud Shakeel, 18.3) · 5-137 (Kamran Ghulam, 38.0) · 6-142 (Mohammad Rizwan, 40.0) · 7-189 (Aamer Jamal, 48.5) · 8-189 (Salman Ali Agha, 50.0) · 9-189 (Naseem Shah, 50.1) · 10-211 (Khurram Shehzad, 57.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 2/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 7/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 13/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 13/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 17/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 21/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 26/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 31/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 33/0 |
| 13 | 1 | 34/0 |
| 14 | 2 | 36/0 |
| 15 | 4 | 40/1 |
| 16 | 0 | 40/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 41/2 |
| 18 | 12 | 53/3 |
| 19 | 7 | 60/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 65/4 |
| 21 | 10 | 75/4 |
| 22 | 9 | 84/4 |
| 23 | 3 | 87/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 88/4 |
| 25 | 3 | 91/4 |
| 26 | 0 | 91/4 |
| 27 | 4 | 95/4 |
| 28 | 11 | 106/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 110/4 |
| 30 | 5 | 115/4 |
| 31 | 3 | 118/4 |
| 32 | 3 | 121/4 |
| 33 | 6 | 127/4 |
| 34 | 3 | 130/4 |
| 35 | 1 | 131/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 133/4 |
| 37 | 1 | 134/4 |
| 38 | 3 | 137/5 |
| 39 | 5 | 142/5 |
| 40 | 0 | 142/6 |
| 41 | 5 | 147/6 |
| 42 | 1 | 148/6 |
| 43 | 10 | 158/6 |
| 44 | 2 | 160/6 |
| 45 | 5 | 165/6 |
| 46 | 2 | 167/6 |
| 47 | 2 | 169/6 |
| 48 | 10 | 179/6 |
| 49 | 10 | 189/7 |
| 50 | 0 | 189/8 |
| 51 | 0 | 189/9 |
| 52 | 6 | 195/9 |
| 53 | 0 | 195/9 |
| 54 | 4 | 199/9 |
| 55 | 0 | 199/9 |
| 56 | 4 | 203/9 |
| 57 | 6 | 209/9 |
| 58 | 2 | 211/10 |
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Dane Paterson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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