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Photo: NZDF
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Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
31 Dec 2025 · T20
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 57%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 50% to 100% during the match (Northern Districts: 0% to 50%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Watkincaught · Jess McFadyen · Ellyse Perry 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess McFadyen · b Ellyse Perry | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| T Wakelincaught · Jess Kerr · Ellyse Perry 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess Kerr · b Ellyse Perry | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Caitlin Gurreybowled · Amelia Kerr 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Amelia Kerr | 26 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Nensi Patelrun out · Jess Kerr · XA Jetly 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jess Kerr | 28 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 65.12 |
| MBA Lamploughcaught · XA Jetly · Amelia Kerr 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · XA Jetly · b Amelia Kerr | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| caught · Georgia Plimmer · b Ellyse Perry |
| 5 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 55.56 |
| HE Toppcaught · N Baird · Jess Kerr 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Baird · b Jess Kerr | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| C Agafilicaught · Jess McFadyen · XA Jetly 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess McFadyen · b XA Jetly | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| LF Bouchernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| MW Downeslbw · Jess Kerr 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jess Kerr | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kayley Knightnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 8 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ellyse Perry1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 2.75 | 4 | 0 |
| Jess Kerr0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| JA Simmons0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| XA Jetly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
| N Baird0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Amelia Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| HC Francis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Jess Watkin, 0.1) · 2-16 (T Wakelin, 2.3) · 3-38 (Caitlin Gurrey, 7.1) · 4-48 (MBA Lamplough, 9.5) · 5-57 (E Wolland, 12.5) · 6-61 (HE Topp, 14.2) · 7-80 (C Agafili, 17.2) · 8-81 (Nensi Patel, 17.4) · 9-81 (MW Downes, 18.1)
Recorded target: 155 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 16/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 24/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 30/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 38/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 40/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 44/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 48/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 52/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 56/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 58/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 61/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 70/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 76/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 80/6 |
| 18 | 1 | 81/8 |
| 19 | 2 | 83/9 |
| 20 | 10 | 93/9 |
Maitlan Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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