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Photo: NZDF
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Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
31 Dec 2025 · T20
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 57%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 50% to 100% during the match (Northern Districts: 0% to 50%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Amelia Kerrbowled · MW Downes9 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b MW Downes | 66 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 120.00 |
| Georgia Plimmercaught · MW Downes · LF Boucher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MW Downes · b LF Boucher | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Ellyse Perrycaught · LF Boucher · Nensi Patel1 fours · 4 sixes | caught · LF Boucher · b Nensi Patel | 39 | 31 | 1 | 4 | 125.81 |
| Jess Kerrcaught · Caitlin Gurrey · Kayley Knight 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Caitlin Gurrey · b Kayley Knight | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
| stumped · HE Topp · b Jess Watkin |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.00 |
 Maitlan Brownnot out1 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 30* | 13 | 1 | 3 | 230.77 |
|---|
| XA Jetlynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MW Downes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| LF Boucher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayley Knight0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Jess Watkin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nensi Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Georgia Plimmer, 1.1) · 2-83 (Ellyse Perry, 10.3) · 3-95 (Jess Kerr, 12.5) · 4-98 (Rebecca Burns, 14.0) · 5-140 (Amelia Kerr, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 15 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 45/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 52/1 |
| 8 | 15 | 67/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 76/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 85/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 89/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 95/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 98/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 107/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 112/4 |
| 17 | 12 | 124/4 |
| 18 | 16 | 140/4 |
| 19 | 3 | 143/5 |
| 20 | 11 | 154/5 |
Maitlan Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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