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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 54%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (Derbyshire: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Luke Wells · Chris Green1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Luke Wells · b Chris Green | 19 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 190.00 |
| Caleb Jewellbowled · Liam Livingstone 5 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Liam Livingstone | 65 | 43 | 5 | 3 | 151.16 |
| Martin Anderssoncaught · Jack Blatherwick · Luke Wood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b Luke Wood | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Keaton Jennings · Luke Wood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Keaton Jennings · b Luke Wood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Matthew Hurst · b Saqib Mahmood |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
 Brooke Guestcaught · Matthew Hurst · Jack Blatherwick0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Hurst · b Jack Blatherwick | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Ross Whiteleycaught · Ashton Turner · Chris Green0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Chris Green | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Zak Chappellcaught · Ashton Turner · Liam Livingstone5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Liam Livingstone | 31 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 206.67 |
|---|
| Allah Mohammad Ghazanfarcaught · Luke Wells · Jack Blatherwick 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Luke Wells · b Jack Blatherwick | 28 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Ben Aitchisoncaught · Jack Blatherwick · Chris Green0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b Chris Green | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Patrick Brownnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Saqib Mahmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Wells0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.2 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 12.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-43 (Aneurin Donald, 3.3) · 2-48 (Martin Andersson, 4.4) · 3-48 (Wayne Madsen, 4.5) · 4-51 (Samit Patel, 5.5) · 5-56 (Brooke Guest, 6.5) · 6-57 (Ross Whiteley, 7.5) · 7-96 (Zak Chappell, 11.3) · 8-128 (Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar, 14.3) · 9-141 (Ben Aitchison, 16.0) · 10-163 (Caleb Jewell, 17.2)
Recorded target: 244 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 20 | 28/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 42/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 45/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 49/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 52/4 |
| 7 | 4 | 56/5 |
| 8 | 2 | 58/6 |
| 9 | 10 | 68/6 |
| 10 | 6 | 74/6 |
| 11 | 17 | 91/6 |
| 12 | 12 | 103/7 |
| 13 | 13 | 116/7 |
| 14 | 11 | 127/7 |
| 15 | 9 | 136/8 |
| 16 | 5 | 141/9 |
| 17 | 17 | 158/9 |
| 18 | 5 | 163/10 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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