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South Africa tour of West Indies · 2024 · Men
15 Aug 2024 · Test
Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaitebowled · Wiaan Mulder0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Wiaan Mulder | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 15.79 |
| Mikyle Louisbowled · Nandre Burger 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nandre Burger | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Keacy Cartycaught · Keshav Maharaj · Nandre Burger 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Keshav Maharaj · b Nandre Burger | 26 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 70.27 |
| Alick Athanazecaught and bowled · Wiaan Mulder 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Wiaan Mulder | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Kavem Hodgecaught · Tristan Stubbs · Wiaan Mulder 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Tristan Stubbs · b Wiaan Mulder |
| 4 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
 Jason Holdernot out6 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 54* | 88 | 6 | 1 | 61.36 |
|---|
 Joshua Da Silvacaught · Aiden Markram · Wiaan Mulder1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Wiaan Mulder | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Gudakesh Motielbw · Keshav Maharaj 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Keshav Maharaj | 11 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 31.43 |
|---|
| Jomel Warricancaught · Keshav Maharaj · Kagiso Rabada 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Keshav Maharaj · b Kagiso Rabada | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealeslbw · Nandre Burger 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nandre Burger | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephlbw · Keshav Maharaj 4 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Keshav Maharaj | 25 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92.59 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 11 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nandre Burger2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 2 | 49 | 3 | 4.08 | 0 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 32 | 4 | 3.56 | 0 | 1 |
 Keshav Maharaj2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.4 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1.41 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Mikyle Louis, 2.0) · 2-21 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 7.2) · 3-35 (Alick Athanaze, 9.5) · 4-43 (Kavem Hodge, 11.4) · 5-47 (Keacy Carty, 12.4) · 6-56 (Joshua Da Silva, 15.5) · 7-97 (Gudakesh Motie, 28.2) · 8-103 (Jomel Warrican, 33.0) · 9-104 (Jayden Seales, 35.4) · 10-144 (Shamar Joseph, 42.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 2/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 6/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 16/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 21/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 25/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 33/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 35/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 39/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 43/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 47/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 51/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 55/5 |
| 16 | 1 | 56/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 65/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 73/6 |
| 19 | 6 | 79/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 84/6 |
| 21 | 1 | 85/6 |
| 22 | 1 | 86/6 |
| 23 | 1 | 87/6 |
| 24 | 1 | 88/6 |
| 25 | 0 | 88/6 |
| 26 | 2 | 90/6 |
| 27 | 4 | 94/6 |
| 28 | 3 | 97/6 |
| 29 | 0 | 97/7 |
| 30 | 1 | 98/7 |
| 31 | 3 | 101/7 |
| 32 | 1 | 102/7 |
| 33 | 1 | 103/8 |
| 34 | 1 | 104/8 |
| 35 | 0 | 104/8 |
| 36 | 0 | 104/9 |
| 37 | 10 | 114/9 |
| 38 | 14 | 128/9 |
| 39 | 2 | 130/9 |
| 40 | 4 | 134/9 |
| 41 | 2 | 136/9 |
| 42 | 6 | 142/9 |
| 43 | 2 | 144/10 |
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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