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South Africa tour of West Indies · 2024 · Men
15 Aug 2024 · Test
Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaitelbw · Wiaan Mulder3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Wiaan Mulder | 25 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 45.45 |
| Mikyle Louiscaught · Wiaan Mulder · Kagiso Rabada 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Kagiso Rabada | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Keacy Cartybowled · Wiaan Mulder 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Wiaan Mulder | 17 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 36.17 |
| Alick Athanazecaught · Aiden Markram · Dane Piedt 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Dane Piedt | 15 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Kavem Hodgebowled · Kagiso Rabada 6 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Kagiso Rabada |
| 29 |
| 38 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 76.32 |
 Jason Holdercaught · Wiaan Mulder · Dane Piedt0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Dane Piedt | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Joshua Da Silvalbw · Keshav Maharaj1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Keshav Maharaj | 27 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
| Gudakesh Motielbw · Keshav Maharaj 5 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Keshav Maharaj | 45 | 59 | 5 | 1 | 76.27 |
|---|
| Jomel Warricannot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 25* | 50 | 2 | 1 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephcaught · Temba Bavuma · Kagiso Rabada 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Temba Bavuma · b Kagiso Rabada | 11 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 52.38 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealescaught · David Bedingham · Keshav Maharaj 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Bedingham · b Keshav Maharaj | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 11 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 0 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada5 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 16.0 | 5 | 50 | 3 | 3.13 | 0 | 2 |
| Nandre Burger3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 2.62 | 0 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 14.0 | 2 | 35 | 2 | 2.50 | 0 | 2 |
 Keshav Maharaj2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.2 | 2 | 37 | 3 | 3.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Dane Piedt1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 1 | 50 | 2 | 4.17 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Mikyle Louis, 4.4) · 2-54 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 17.4) · 3-62 (Keacy Carty, 21.1) · 4-99 (Kavem Hodge, 30.5) · 5-103 (Alick Athanaze, 34.0) · 6-104 (Jason Holder, 35.1) · 7-181 (Gudakesh Motie, 52.4) · 8-182 (Joshua Da Silva, 54.2) · 9-205 (Shamar Joseph, 62.0) · 10-222 (Jayden Seales, 66.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 3/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 7/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 12/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 28/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 28/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 30/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 35/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 39/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 43/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 47/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 51/1 |
| 17 | 3 | 54/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 56/2 |
| 19 | 5 | 61/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 62/2 |
| 21 | 0 | 62/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 64/3 |
| 23 | 0 | 64/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 68/3 |
| 25 | 2 | 70/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 74/3 |
| 27 | 9 | 83/3 |
| 28 | 3 | 86/3 |
| 29 | 9 | 95/3 |
| 30 | 2 | 97/3 |
| 31 | 2 | 99/4 |
| 32 | 4 | 103/4 |
| 33 | 0 | 103/4 |
| 34 | 0 | 103/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 104/5 |
| 36 | 2 | 106/6 |
| 37 | 3 | 109/6 |
| 38 | 9 | 118/6 |
| 39 | 5 | 123/6 |
| 40 | 4 | 127/6 |
| 41 | 2 | 129/6 |
| 42 | 6 | 135/6 |
| 43 | 0 | 135/6 |
| 44 | 5 | 140/6 |
| 45 | 6 | 146/6 |
| 46 | 4 | 150/6 |
| 47 | 6 | 156/6 |
| 48 | 5 | 161/6 |
| 49 | 3 | 164/6 |
| 50 | 7 | 171/6 |
| 51 | 4 | 175/6 |
| 52 | 2 | 177/6 |
| 53 | 4 | 181/7 |
| 54 | 1 | 182/7 |
| 55 | 2 | 184/8 |
| 56 | 6 | 190/8 |
| 57 | 4 | 194/8 |
| 58 | 0 | 194/8 |
| 59 | 2 | 196/8 |
| 60 | 4 | 200/8 |
| 61 | 0 | 200/8 |
| 62 | 5 | 205/9 |
| 63 | 2 | 207/9 |
| 64 | 0 | 207/9 |
| 65 | 7 | 214/9 |
| 66 | 4 | 218/9 |
| 67 | 4 | 222/10 |
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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