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Photo: No machine-readable author provided. FrWaters assumed (based on copyright claims).
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South Africa tour of West Indies · 2024 · Men
15 Aug 2024 · Test
Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
On 15 Aug 2024, South Africa played West Indies at Providence Stadium, Guyana. Recorded result: South Africa won by 40 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.