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Photo: NZDF
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
31 Dec 2025 · T20
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 43%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 29% to 98% during the match (Northern Districts: 2% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katene Clarkecaught · Jesse Tashkoff · Logan van Beek 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jesse Tashkoff · b Logan van Beek | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Joe Cartercaught · Michael Snedden · Yahya Zeb 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Snedden · b Yahya Zeb | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
 Brett Hamptoncaught · Muhammad Abbas · Michael Snedden5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Muhammad Abbas · b Michael Snedden | 47 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 146.88 |
| Robert O'Donnelllbw · Peter Younghusband 5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Peter Younghusband | 27 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 168.75 |
 |
| caught and bowled · b Peter Younghusband |
| 26 |
| 18 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 144.44 |
 Ben Pomarecaught · Peter Younghusband · Jesse Tashkoff1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Peter Younghusband · b Jesse Tashkoff | 18 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Kris Clarkecaught and bowled · Jesse Tashkoff 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jesse Tashkoff | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Scott Kuggeleijncaught · Peter Younghusband · Yahya Zeb 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Peter Younghusband · b Yahya Zeb | 33 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 194.12 |
|---|
 Tim Pringlecaught · Jesse Tashkoff · Logan van Beek0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jesse Tashkoff · b Logan van Beek | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
| JH Brownnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Matthew Fishercaught · Tom Blundell · Yahya Zeb0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Yahya Zeb | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan van Beek0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Michael Snedden0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Yahya Zeb0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Younghusband0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 | 1 |
 Jesse Tashkoff0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-0 (Katene Clarke, 0.1) · 2-26 (Joe Carter, 2.5) · 3-72 (Robert O'Donnell, 7.0) · 4-105 (Brett Hampton, 11.4) · 5-127 (Ben Pomare, 13.3) · 6-127 (Kris Clarke, 13.4) · 7-129 (Xavier Bell, 14.3) · 8-178 (Tim Pringle, 18.4) · 9-179 (Scott Kuggeleijn, 19.1) · 10-181 (Matthew Fisher, 19.4)
Recorded target: 195 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 14 | 22/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 28/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 36/2 |
| 5 | 19 | 55/2 |
| 6 | 14 | 69/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 72/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 75/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 80/3 |
| 10 | 15 | 95/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 102/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 105/4 |
| 13 | 17 | 122/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 127/6 |
| 15 | 2 | 129/7 |
| 16 | 21 | 150/7 |
| 17 | 13 | 163/7 |
| 18 | 11 | 174/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 179/8 |
| 20 | 2 | 181/10 |
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tim Pringle: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Xavier Bell: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Pomare: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yahya Zeb: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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