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Photo: NZDF
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
31 Dec 2025 · T20
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 43%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 29% to 98% during the match (Northern Districts: 2% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Robinsoncaught · Tim Pringle · Brett Hampton 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Tim Pringle · b Brett Hampton | 54 | 30 | 2 | 4 | 180.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JH Brown · b Scott Kuggeleijn | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Nick Kellynot out 11 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 95* | 58 | 11 | 3 | 163.79 |
0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Robert O'Donnell · b Kris Clarke | 13 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 130.00 |
| not out |
| 23* |
| 18 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 127.78 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scott Kuggeleijn0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Kris Clarke0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 | |
| JH Brown0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Tom Blundell, 1.3) · 2-96 (Tim Robinson, 10.1) · 3-142 (Muhammad Abbas, 14.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 18 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 71/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 80/1 |
| 10 | 16 | 96/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 100/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 111/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 116/2 |
| 14 | 25 | 141/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 147/3 |
| 16 | 15 | 162/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 173/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 181/3 |
| 19 | 5 | 186/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 194/3 |
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tim Pringle: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Xavier Bell: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Pomare: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yahya Zeb: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.