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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
12 Jul 2025 · Test
Sabina Park · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Usman Khawajacaught · Shai Hope · Shamar Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Shamar Joseph | 23 | 92 | 1 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Sam Konstaslbw · Justin Greaves2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Justin Greaves | 17 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 32.08 |
 Cameron Greenbowled · Jayden Seales5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 46 | 108 | 5 | 0 | 42.59 |
| caught · Brandon King · b Shamar Joseph |
| 48 |
| 66 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 72.73 |
 Travis Headcaught · A Phillip · Justin Greaves2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Phillip · b Justin Greaves | 20 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 37.74 |
|---|
 Beau Webstercaught · Shai Hope · Shamar Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Shamar Joseph | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Shai Hope · Justin Greaves3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Justin Greaves | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 105.00 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminscaught · Kevlon Anderson · Jayden Seales0 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Kevlon Anderson · b Jayden Seales | 24 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 141.18 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starcbowled · Jayden Seales0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Scott Bolandnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodcaught · Alzarri Joseph · Shamar Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alzarri Joseph · b Shamar Joseph | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 2 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Seales3 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 16.0 | 3 | 59 | 3 | 3.69 | 0 | 4 |
| Shamar Joseph4 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 17.3 | 4 | 33 | 4 | 1.89 | 2 | 1 |
| Alzarri Joseph1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 3.29 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin Greaves2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 2 | 56 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jomel Warrican4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Sam Konstas, 16.1) · 2-68 (Usman Khawaja, 31.3) · 3-129 (Cameron Green, 49.0) · 4-157 (Steve Smith, 56.0) · 5-161 (Beau Webster, 59.4) · 6-189 (Travis Head, 65.0) · 7-198 (Alex Carey, 66.4) · 8-199 (Mitchell Starc, 68.0) · 9-216 (Pat Cummins, 69.5) · 10-225 (Josh Hazlewood, 70.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 7/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 7/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 7/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 13/0 |
| 10 | 0 | 13/0 |
| 11 | 1 | 14/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 16/0 |
| 13 | 5 | 21/0 |
| 14 | 2 | 23/0 |
| 15 | 5 | 28/0 |
| 16 | 0 | 28/0 |
| 17 | 0 | 28/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 33/1 |
| 19 | 4 | 37/1 |
| 20 | 0 | 37/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 41/1 |
| 22 | 8 | 49/1 |
| 23 | 1 | 50/1 |
| 24 | 0 | 50/1 |
| 25 | 0 | 50/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 52/1 |
| 27 | 0 | 52/1 |
| 28 | 0 | 52/1 |
| 29 | 6 | 58/1 |
| 30 | 5 | 63/1 |
| 31 | 2 | 65/1 |
| 32 | 4 | 69/2 |
| 33 | 4 | 73/2 |
| 34 | 6 | 79/2 |
| 35 | 3 | 82/2 |
| 36 | 2 | 84/2 |
| 37 | 12 | 96/2 |
| 38 | 3 | 99/2 |
| 39 | 4 | 103/2 |
| 40 | 0 | 103/2 |
| 41 | 1 | 104/2 |
| 42 | 5 | 109/2 |
| 43 | 3 | 112/2 |
| 44 | 3 | 115/2 |
| 45 | 1 | 116/2 |
| 46 | 0 | 116/2 |
| 47 | 8 | 124/2 |
| 48 | 1 | 125/2 |
| 49 | 4 | 129/3 |
| 50 | 6 | 135/3 |
| 51 | 3 | 138/3 |
| 52 | 0 | 138/3 |
| 53 | 11 | 149/3 |
| 54 | 1 | 150/3 |
| 55 | 6 | 156/3 |
| 56 | 1 | 157/4 |
| 57 | 1 | 158/4 |
| 58 | 1 | 159/4 |
| 59 | 2 | 161/4 |
| 60 | 4 | 165/5 |
| 61 | 12 | 177/5 |
| 62 | 2 | 179/5 |
| 63 | 1 | 180/5 |
| 64 | 4 | 184/5 |
| 65 | 5 | 189/6 |
| 66 | 9 | 198/6 |
| 67 | 0 | 198/7 |
| 68 | 1 | 199/8 |
| 69 | 5 | 204/8 |
| 70 | 16 | 220/9 |
| 71 | 5 | 225/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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