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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
12 Jul 2025 · Test
Sabina Park · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Usman Khawajabowled · Shamar Joseph2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 14 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Sam Konstascaught · Roston Chase · Shamar Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roston Chase · b Shamar Joseph | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Cameron Greenbowled · Shamar Joseph6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 42 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 63.64 |
| bowled · b Alzarri Joseph |
| 5 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 38.46 |
 Travis Headcaught · Kevlon Anderson · Justin Greaves3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kevlon Anderson · b Justin Greaves | 16 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Beau Websterbowled · Alzarri Joseph2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alzarri Joseph | 13 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 72.22 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Brandon King · Alzarri Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brandon King · b Alzarri Joseph | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminscaught · Kevlon Anderson · Alzarri Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kevlon Anderson · b Alzarri Joseph | 5 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 15.63 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starcnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 26 | 1 | 0 | 42.31 |
|---|
 Scott Bolandbowled · Shamar Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodbowled · Alzarri Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alzarri Joseph | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Seales2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 4 | 34 | 4 | 2.62 | 0 | 0 |
| Alzarri Joseph2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 2 | 27 | 5 | 2.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin Greaves0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Sam Konstas, 1.5) · 2-19 (Usman Khawaja, 5.5) · 3-28 (Steve Smith, 9.0) · 4-50 (Travis Head, 16.4) · 5-69 (Beau Webster, 20.3) · 6-69 (Alex Carey, 21.0) · 7-99 (Cameron Green, 29.1) · 8-105 (Pat Cummins, 32.1) · 9-116 (Scott Boland, 35.5) · 10-121 (Josh Hazlewood, 37.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 9/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 12/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 20/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 24/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 28/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 28/3 |
| 10 | 0 | 28/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 30/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 37/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 41/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 45/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 46/3 |
| 16 | 0 | 46/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 55/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 58/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 63/4 |
| 20 | 4 | 67/4 |
| 21 | 2 | 69/6 |
| 22 | 10 | 79/6 |
| 23 | 1 | 80/6 |
| 24 | 5 | 85/6 |
| 25 | 2 | 87/6 |
| 26 | 3 | 90/6 |
| 27 | 5 | 95/6 |
| 28 | 1 | 96/6 |
| 29 | 3 | 99/6 |
| 30 | 5 | 104/7 |
| 31 | 0 | 104/7 |
| 32 | 1 | 105/7 |
| 33 | 2 | 107/8 |
| 34 | 3 | 110/8 |
| 35 | 5 | 115/8 |
| 36 | 5 | 120/9 |
| 37 | 1 | 121/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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