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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
12 Jul 2025 · Test
Sabina Park · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Kinglbw · Josh Hazlewood 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Josh Hazlewood | 14 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Kevlon Andersonbowled · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Starc | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21.43 |
 Roston Chasecaught · Usman Khawaja · Pat Cummins1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usman Khawaja · b Pat Cummins | 18 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 25.35 |
| John Campbelllbw · Scott Boland 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Scott Boland | 36 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 55.38 |
| bowled · b Josh Hazlewood |
| 7 |
| 30 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 23.33 |
 Shai Hopebowled · Scott Boland3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Scott Boland | 23 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 65.71 |
|---|
| Justin Greavesrun out · Sam Konstas, Scott Boland · Scott Boland 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sam Konstas, Scott Boland | 18 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 58.06 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephcaught · Steve Smith · Beau Webster 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Beau Webster | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephbowled · Scott Boland 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Scott Boland | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 61.54 |
|---|
| Jomel Warricancaught · Alex Carey · Pat Cummins 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Pat Cummins | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 0 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 2.46 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Hazlewood1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 32 | 2 | 3.20 | 0 | 0 |
 Pat Cummins1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 1 | 24 | 2 | 2.18 | 0 | 0 |
 Scott Boland4 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 13.1 | 4 | 34 | 3 | 2.58 | 0 | 4 |
 Beau Webster1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Kevlon Anderson, 4.2) · 2-28 (Brandon King, 16.2) · 3-58 (Roston Chase, 26.4) · 4-82 (John Campbell, 35.1) · 5-95 (Mikyle Louis, 38.3) · 6-124 (Shai Hope, 46.3) · 7-127 (Alzarri Joseph, 47.2) · 8-135 (Justin Greaves, 48.3) · 9-137 (Jomel Warrican, 50.0) · 10-143 (Shamar Joseph, 52.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 11/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 12/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 14/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 16/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 17/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 17/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 21/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 22/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 25/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 28/1 |
| 16 | 0 | 28/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 32/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 38/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 45/2 |
| 21 | 1 | 46/2 |
| 22 | 1 | 47/2 |
| 23 | 5 | 52/2 |
| 24 | 5 | 57/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 58/2 |
| 26 | 0 | 58/2 |
| 27 | 0 | 58/3 |
| 28 | 3 | 61/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 63/3 |
| 30 | 0 | 63/3 |
| 31 | 5 | 68/3 |
| 32 | 5 | 73/3 |
| 33 | 4 | 77/3 |
| 34 | 0 | 77/3 |
| 35 | 5 | 82/3 |
| 36 | 8 | 90/4 |
| 37 | 1 | 91/4 |
| 38 | 4 | 95/4 |
| 39 | 0 | 95/5 |
| 40 | 2 | 97/5 |
| 41 | 10 | 107/5 |
| 42 | 5 | 112/5 |
| 43 | 5 | 117/5 |
| 44 | 1 | 118/5 |
| 45 | 4 | 122/5 |
| 46 | 0 | 122/5 |
| 47 | 4 | 126/6 |
| 48 | 7 | 133/7 |
| 49 | 3 | 136/8 |
| 50 | 1 | 137/9 |
| 51 | 2 | 139/9 |
| 52 | 4 | 143/9 |
| 53 | 0 | 143/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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