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Photo: Jamaica1962
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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
12 Jul 2025 · Test
Sabina Park · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
On 12 Jul 2025, Australia played West Indies at Sabina Park. Recorded result: Australia won by 176 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.