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Photo: আফতাবুজ্জামান
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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Ireland tour of Bangladesh · 2025/26 · Men
11 Nov 2025 · Test
Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmudul Hasan Joycaught · Lorcan Tucker · Barry McCarthy14 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Barry McCarthy | 171 | 286 | 14 | 4 | 59.79 |
| Shadman Islamcaught · Lorcan Tucker · Matthew Humphreys 9 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Matthew Humphreys | 80 | 104 | 9 | 1 | 76.92 |
 Mominul Haquecaught · Andrew Balbirnie · Barry McCarthy5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Andrew Balbirnie · b Barry McCarthy | 82 | 132 | 5 | 2 | 62.12 |
 Najmul Hossain Shanto |
| lbw · b Andrew McBrine |
| 100 |
| 114 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| 87.72 |
 Mushfiqur Rahimcaught · Andrew Balbirnie · Matthew Humphreys3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Balbirnie · b Matthew Humphreys | 23 | 52 | 3 | 0 | 44.23 |
|---|
 Litton Dascaught · Harry Tector · Matthew Humphreys8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Tector · b Matthew Humphreys | 60 | 66 | 8 | 1 | 90.91 |
|---|
 Mehedi Hasancaught and bowled · Matthew Humphreys2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matthew Humphreys | 17 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 51.52 |
|---|
| Hasan Muradcaught · Curtis Campher · Matthew Humphreys 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Curtis Campher · b Matthew Humphreys | 16 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 61.54 |
|---|
 Hasan Mahmudnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 28 | 2 | 0 | 46.43 |
|---|
 Nahid Rananot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 10 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry McCarthy3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 17.0 | 3 | 72 | 2 | 4.24 | 0 | 1 |
| Craig Young0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 0 | 54 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Andrew McBrine6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 39.0 | 6 | 141 | 1 | 3.62 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Neill0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 5.45 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Humphreys1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 43.0 | 1 | 170 | 5 | 3.95 | 0 | 0 |
| Curtis Campher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Harry Tector1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 3.44 | 5 | 0 |
1-168 (Shadman Islam, 41.1) · 2-341 (Mahmudul Hasan Joy, 86.3) · 3-346 (Mominul Haque, 88.1) · 4-425 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 105.2) · 5-523 (Litton Das, 123.1) · 6-545 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 128.4) · 7-561 (Mehedi Hasan, 133.2) · 8-582 (Hasan Murad, 139.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 16/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 18/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 24/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 29/0 |
| 9 | 11 | 40/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 46/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 48/0 |
| 12 | 7 | 55/0 |
| 13 | 3 | 58/0 |
| 14 | 0 | 58/0 |
| 15 | 7 | 65/0 |
| 16 | 0 | 65/0 |
| 17 | 8 | 73/0 |
| 18 | 6 | 79/0 |
| 19 | 9 | 88/0 |
| 20 | 9 | 97/0 |
| 21 | 6 | 103/0 |
| 22 | 5 | 108/0 |
| 23 | 1 | 109/0 |
| 24 | 0 | 109/0 |
| 25 | 2 | 111/0 |
| 26 | 4 | 115/0 |
| 27 | 5 | 120/0 |
| 28 | 2 | 122/0 |
| 29 | 2 | 124/0 |
| 30 | 4 | 128/0 |
| 31 | 6 | 134/0 |
| 32 | 2 | 136/0 |
| 33 | 5 | 141/0 |
| 34 | 2 | 143/0 |
| 35 | 3 | 146/0 |
| 36 | 4 | 150/0 |
| 37 | 4 | 154/0 |
| 38 | 1 | 155/0 |
| 39 | 4 | 159/0 |
| 40 | 3 | 162/0 |
| 41 | 6 | 168/0 |
| 42 | 1 | 169/1 |
| 43 | 0 | 169/1 |
| 44 | 2 | 171/1 |
| 45 | 1 | 172/1 |
| 46 | 6 | 178/1 |
| 47 | 1 | 179/1 |
| 48 | 2 | 181/1 |
| 49 | 4 | 185/1 |
| 50 | 3 | 188/1 |
| 51 | 1 | 189/1 |
| 52 | 3 | 192/1 |
| 53 | 4 | 196/1 |
| 54 | 2 | 198/1 |
| 55 | 0 | 198/1 |
| 56 | 4 | 202/1 |
| 57 | 4 | 206/1 |
| 58 | 2 | 208/1 |
| 59 | 5 | 213/1 |
| 60 | 4 | 217/1 |
| 61 | 4 | 221/1 |
| 62 | 5 | 226/1 |
| 63 | 5 | 231/1 |
| 64 | 4 | 235/1 |
| 65 | 4 | 239/1 |
| 66 | 2 | 241/1 |
| 67 | 7 | 248/1 |
| 68 | 5 | 253/1 |
| 69 | 1 | 254/1 |
| 70 | 11 | 265/1 |
| 71 | 0 | 265/1 |
| 72 | 1 | 266/1 |
| 73 | 2 | 268/1 |
| 74 | 7 | 275/1 |
| 75 | 6 | 281/1 |
| 76 | 4 | 285/1 |
| 77 | 3 | 288/1 |
| 78 | 8 | 296/1 |
| 79 | 8 | 304/1 |
| 80 | 16 | 320/1 |
| 81 | 1 | 321/1 |
| 82 | 2 | 323/1 |
| 83 | 3 | 326/1 |
| 84 | 4 | 330/1 |
| 85 | 8 | 338/1 |
| 86 | 1 | 339/1 |
| 87 | 2 | 341/2 |
| 88 | 5 | 346/2 |
| 89 | 2 | 348/3 |
| 90 | 6 | 354/3 |
| 91 | 0 | 354/3 |
| 92 | 4 | 358/3 |
| 93 | 0 | 358/3 |
| 94 | 11 | 369/3 |
| 95 | 2 | 371/3 |
| 96 | 11 | 382/3 |
| 97 | 2 | 384/3 |
| 98 | 7 | 391/3 |
| 99 | 3 | 394/3 |
| 100 | 4 | 398/3 |
| 101 | 4 | 402/3 |
| 102 | 9 | 411/3 |
| 103 | 2 | 413/3 |
| 104 | 4 | 417/3 |
| 105 | 8 | 425/3 |
| 106 | 0 | 425/4 |
| 107 | 5 | 430/4 |
| 108 | 9 | 439/4 |
| 109 | 2 | 441/4 |
| 110 | 1 | 442/4 |
| 111 | 5 | 447/4 |
| 112 | 12 | 459/4 |
| 113 | 7 | 466/4 |
| 114 | 6 | 472/4 |
| 115 | 11 | 483/4 |
| 116 | 6 | 489/4 |
| 117 | 8 | 497/4 |
| 118 | 4 | 501/4 |
| 119 | 8 | 509/4 |
| 120 | 1 | 510/4 |
| 121 | 1 | 511/4 |
| 122 | 7 | 518/4 |
| 123 | 5 | 523/4 |
| 124 | 1 | 524/5 |
| 125 | 4 | 528/5 |
| 126 | 5 | 533/5 |
| 127 | 2 | 535/5 |
| 128 | 8 | 543/5 |
| 129 | 2 | 545/6 |
| 130 | 5 | 550/6 |
| 131 | 6 | 556/6 |
| 132 | 4 | 560/6 |
| 133 | 1 | 561/6 |
| 134 | 1 | 562/7 |
| 135 | 0 | 562/7 |
| 136 | 4 | 566/7 |
| 137 | 1 | 567/7 |
| 138 | 8 | 575/7 |
| 139 | 6 | 581/7 |
| 140 | 1 | 582/8 |
| 141 | 5 | 587/8 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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