IrelandversusBangladesh

11 Nov 2025 · Test

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Bangladesh won by 47 runs

Ireland92.2 overs286/10 Bangladesh141.0 overs587/8d Ireland70.2 overs254/10 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Bangladesh more likely to win

32%Ireland13%Draw55%Bangladesh

Why

Bangladesh are playing at home in Bangladesh
On results in Tests so far, Ireland rate stronger than Bangladesh (1,396 vs 1,328 on our results rating)
In the last 1 Tests between these sides, Bangladesh won 1 and Ireland won 0

Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.