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Photo: আফতাবুজ্জামান
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Ireland tour of Bangladesh · 2025/26 · Men
11 Nov 2025 · Test
Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Paul Stirlingrun out · Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das · Taijul Islam7 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das | 43 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 72.88 |
| Cade Carmichaelbowled · Nahid Rana 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nahid Rana | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
 Harry Tectorlbw · Taijul Islam1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Taijul Islam | 18 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 38.30 |
| Curtis Camphercaught · Shadman Islam · Hasan Murad 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadman Islam · b Hasan Murad | 5 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 26.32 |
| Lorcan Tuckerlbw · Hasan Murad 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Murad | 9 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 45.00 |
|---|
 Andrew McBrinecaught · Hasan Murad · Nahid Rana5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hasan Murad · b Nahid Rana | 52 | 106 | 5 | 0 | 49.06 |
|---|
| Matthew Humphreyscaught · Shadman Islam · Taijul Islam 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shadman Islam · b Taijul Islam | 16 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 88.89 |
|---|
 Andrew Balbirnielbw · Hasan Murad5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Murad | 38 | 63 | 5 | 0 | 60.32 |
|---|
| Jordan Neillcaught · Shadman Islam · Hasan Murad 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadman Islam · b Hasan Murad | 36 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 67.92 |
|---|
| Barry McCarthycaught · Litton Das · Taijul Islam 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Taijul Islam | 25 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 92.59 |
|---|
| Craig Youngnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hasan Mahmud2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Nahid Rana1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 40 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Taijul Islam3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.2 | 3 | 84 | 3 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Mehedi Hasan4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 4 | 48 | 0 | 2.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Hasan Murad1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 1 | 60 | 4 | 4.29 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Cade Carmichael, 3.3) · 2-61 (Paul Stirling, 17.2) · 3-68 (Harry Tector, 21.1) · 4-82 (Curtis Campher, 24.1) · 5-85 (Lorcan Tucker, 26.4) · 6-116 (Matthew Humphreys, 34.0) · 7-182 (Andrew Balbirnie, 53.5) · 8-198 (Andrew McBrine, 60.2) · 9-252 (Jordan Neill, 69.4) · 10-254 (Barry McCarthy, 70.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 23/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 32/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 33/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 39/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 41/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 49/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 50/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 52/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 54/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 55/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 60/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 61/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 61/1 |
| 18 | 0 | 61/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 62/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 63/2 |
| 21 | 5 | 68/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 68/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 74/3 |
| 24 | 8 | 82/3 |
| 25 | 1 | 83/4 |
| 26 | 1 | 84/4 |
| 27 | 1 | 85/5 |
| 28 | 1 | 86/5 |
| 29 | 0 | 86/5 |
| 30 | 10 | 96/5 |
| 31 | 4 | 100/5 |
| 32 | 7 | 107/5 |
| 33 | 4 | 111/5 |
| 34 | 5 | 116/6 |
| 35 | 1 | 117/6 |
| 36 | 2 | 119/6 |
| 37 | 6 | 125/6 |
| 38 | 1 | 126/6 |
| 39 | 0 | 126/6 |
| 40 | 8 | 134/6 |
| 41 | 4 | 138/6 |
| 42 | 3 | 141/6 |
| 43 | 2 | 143/6 |
| 44 | 0 | 143/6 |
| 45 | 0 | 143/6 |
| 46 | 5 | 148/6 |
| 47 | 3 | 151/6 |
| 48 | 9 | 160/6 |
| 49 | 4 | 164/6 |
| 50 | 8 | 172/6 |
| 51 | 2 | 174/6 |
| 52 | 3 | 177/6 |
| 53 | 5 | 182/6 |
| 54 | 0 | 182/7 |
| 55 | 1 | 183/7 |
| 56 | 3 | 186/7 |
| 57 | 5 | 191/7 |
| 58 | 1 | 192/7 |
| 59 | 1 | 193/7 |
| 60 | 5 | 198/7 |
| 61 | 6 | 204/8 |
| 62 | 3 | 207/8 |
| 63 | 0 | 207/8 |
| 64 | 9 | 216/8 |
| 65 | 9 | 225/8 |
| 66 | 17 | 242/8 |
| 67 | 1 | 243/8 |
| 68 | 2 | 245/8 |
| 69 | 6 | 251/8 |
| 70 | 1 | 252/9 |
| 71 | 2 | 254/10 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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