OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
The Ashes · 2025/26 · Men
17 Dec 2025 · Test
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Travis Headcaught · Zak Crawley · Josh Tongue16 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Josh Tongue | 170 | 219 | 16 | 2 | 77.63 |
| Jake Weatheraldlbw · Brydon Carse 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Brydon Carse | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
 Marnus Labuschagnecaught · Harry Brook · Josh Tongue1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Josh Tongue | 13 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 28.89 |
 |
| caught · Jamie Smith · b Will Jacks |
| 40 |
| 51 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 78.43 |
 Cameron Greencaught · Harry Brook · Josh Tongue1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Josh Tongue | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Harry Brook · Ben Stokes6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Ben Stokes | 72 | 128 | 6 | 0 | 56.25 |
|---|
 Josh Ingliscaught · Jamie Smith · Josh Tongue0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Josh Tongue | 10 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminscaught · Harry Brook · Brydon Carse0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Brydon Carse | 6 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starcnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyonlbw · Brydon Carse0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Brydon Carse | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Scott Bolandcaught and bowled · Jofra Archer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jofra Archer | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 3 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jofra Archer2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 12.4 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 1.58 | 0 | 2 |
 Brydon Carse1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 20.0 | 1 | 80 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Josh Tongue0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 18.0 | 0 | 70 | 4 | 3.89 | 2 | 2 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 0 | 107 | 1 | 5.63 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Stokes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 3.71 | 1 | 0 |
1-8 (Jake Weatherald, 1.3) · 2-53 (Marnus Labuschagne, 16.3) · 3-139 (Usman Khawaja, 35.1) · 4-149 (Cameron Green, 36.5) · 5-311 (Travis Head, 74.0) · 6-329 (Alex Carey, 78.2) · 7-335 (Josh Inglis, 79.5) · 8-344 (Pat Cummins, 83.1) · 9-344 (Nathan Lyon, 83.2) · 10-349 (Scott Boland, 84.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 17/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 23/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 24/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 25/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 26/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 33/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 41/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 45/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 47/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 50/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 53/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 57/2 |
| 18 | 7 | 64/2 |
| 19 | 8 | 72/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 76/2 |
| 21 | 5 | 81/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 83/2 |
| 23 | 2 | 85/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 88/2 |
| 25 | 5 | 93/2 |
| 26 | 10 | 103/2 |
| 27 | 1 | 104/2 |
| 28 | 3 | 107/2 |
| 29 | 2 | 109/2 |
| 30 | 4 | 113/2 |
| 31 | 6 | 119/2 |
| 32 | 12 | 131/2 |
| 33 | 1 | 132/2 |
| 34 | 4 | 136/2 |
| 35 | 3 | 139/2 |
| 36 | 8 | 147/3 |
| 37 | 2 | 149/4 |
| 38 | 7 | 156/4 |
| 39 | 6 | 162/4 |
| 40 | 7 | 169/4 |
| 41 | 5 | 174/4 |
| 42 | 3 | 177/4 |
| 43 | 5 | 182/4 |
| 44 | 5 | 187/4 |
| 45 | 1 | 188/4 |
| 46 | 5 | 193/4 |
| 47 | 0 | 193/4 |
| 48 | 4 | 197/4 |
| 49 | 2 | 199/4 |
| 50 | 2 | 201/4 |
| 51 | 1 | 202/4 |
| 52 | 6 | 208/4 |
| 53 | 1 | 209/4 |
| 54 | 1 | 210/4 |
| 55 | 1 | 211/4 |
| 56 | 7 | 218/4 |
| 57 | 1 | 219/4 |
| 58 | 1 | 220/4 |
| 59 | 10 | 230/4 |
| 60 | 7 | 237/4 |
| 61 | 6 | 243/4 |
| 62 | 8 | 251/4 |
| 63 | 5 | 256/4 |
| 64 | 9 | 265/4 |
| 65 | 1 | 266/4 |
| 66 | 5 | 271/4 |
| 67 | 1 | 272/4 |
| 68 | 4 | 276/4 |
| 69 | 3 | 279/4 |
| 70 | 10 | 289/4 |
| 71 | 2 | 291/4 |
| 72 | 13 | 304/4 |
| 73 | 5 | 309/4 |
| 74 | 2 | 311/5 |
| 75 | 6 | 317/5 |
| 76 | 3 | 320/5 |
| 77 | 5 | 325/5 |
| 78 | 3 | 328/5 |
| 79 | 4 | 332/6 |
| 80 | 3 | 335/7 |
| 81 | 5 | 340/7 |
| 82 | 1 | 341/7 |
| 83 | 3 | 344/7 |
| 84 | 5 | 349/9 |
| 85 | 0 | 349/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(Archer_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
_(Marnus_Labuschagne_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}