HIGHLIGHTS | Proteas vs Australia | 3rd Test | Day 5
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-11-01
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Australia tour of South Africa · 2026/27 · Men
27 Oct 2026 · Test
Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markramcaught · Mitchell Starc · Josh Hazlewood10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitchell Starc · b Josh Hazlewood | 78 | 141 | 10 | 1 | 55.32 |
 Marques Ackermanstumped · Alex Carey · Nathan Lyon12 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Alex Carey · b Nathan Lyon | 95 | 94 | 12 | 2 | 101.06 |
| David Bedinghamcaught · Josh Hazlewood · Mitchell Starc 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Hazlewood · b Mitchell Starc | 50 | 80 | 7 | 0 | 62.50 |
 |
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-11-01
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-30
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-29
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-28
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-30
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-28
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-27
Willow by Cricbuzz · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Willow by Cricbuzz · Uploaded 2026-10-31
| bowled · b Nathan Lyon |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Matthew Breetzkelbw · Cooper Connolly 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Cooper Connolly | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
 Ryan Rickeltonlbw · Mitchell Starc5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Starc | 42 | 83 | 5 | 0 | 50.60 |
|---|
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Alex Carey · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Marco Jansenbowled · Mitchell Starc7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Starc | 52 | 71 | 7 | 0 | 73.24 |
|---|
 Simon Harmernot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Gerald Coetzeebowled · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadalbw · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 16.3 | 2 | 72 | 6 | 4.36 | 0 | 1 |
 Josh Hazlewood3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 3 | 59 | 1 | 3.93 | 0 | 0 |
 Pat Cummins2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 2 | 73 | 0 | 4.06 | 1 | 0 |
 Nathan Lyon1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.0 | 1 | 71 | 2 | 3.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper Connolly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 4.56 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Renshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-158 (Marques Ackerman, 31.4) · 2-203 (Aiden Markram, 44.4) · 3-204 (Temba Bavuma, 45.2) · 4-216 (Matthew Breetzke, 51.1) · 5-232 (David Bedingham, 56.2) · 6-232 (Wiaan Mulder, 56.4) · 7-327 (Ryan Rickelton, 80.4) · 8-328 (Marco Jansen, 81.0) · 9-329 (Gerald Coetzee, 82.1) · 10-329 (Kagiso Rabada, 82.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 15/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 21/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 23/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 24/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 31/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 36/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 41/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 43/0 |
| 12 | 6 | 49/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 51/0 |
| 14 | 2 | 53/0 |
| 15 | 10 | 63/0 |
| 16 | 7 | 70/0 |
| 17 | 2 | 72/0 |
| 18 | 10 | 82/0 |
| 19 | 0 | 82/0 |
| 20 | 1 | 83/0 |
| 21 | 7 | 90/0 |
| 22 | 12 | 102/0 |
| 23 | 1 | 103/0 |
| 24 | 4 | 107/0 |
| 25 | 18 | 125/0 |
| 26 | 9 | 134/0 |
| 27 | 6 | 140/0 |
| 28 | 4 | 144/0 |
| 29 | 4 | 148/0 |
| 30 | 3 | 151/0 |
| 31 | 6 | 157/0 |
| 32 | 1 | 158/1 |
| 33 | 0 | 158/1 |
| 34 | 4 | 162/1 |
| 35 | 5 | 167/1 |
| 36 | 5 | 172/1 |
| 37 | 10 | 182/1 |
| 38 | 3 | 185/1 |
| 39 | 5 | 190/1 |
| 40 | 2 | 192/1 |
| 41 | 1 | 193/1 |
| 42 | 1 | 194/1 |
| 43 | 8 | 202/1 |
| 44 | 1 | 203/1 |
| 45 | 0 | 203/2 |
| 46 | 2 | 205/3 |
| 47 | 0 | 205/3 |
| 48 | 1 | 206/3 |
| 49 | 1 | 207/3 |
| 50 | 5 | 212/3 |
| 51 | 4 | 216/3 |
| 52 | 2 | 218/4 |
| 53 | 3 | 221/4 |
| 54 | 5 | 226/4 |
| 55 | 2 | 228/4 |
| 56 | 4 | 232/4 |
| 57 | 0 | 232/6 |
| 58 | 0 | 232/6 |
| 59 | 1 | 233/6 |
| 60 | 5 | 238/6 |
| 61 | 7 | 245/6 |
| 62 | 5 | 250/6 |
| 63 | 5 | 255/6 |
| 64 | 1 | 256/6 |
| 65 | 6 | 262/6 |
| 66 | 7 | 269/6 |
| 67 | 5 | 274/6 |
| 68 | 2 | 276/6 |
| 69 | 9 | 285/6 |
| 70 | 6 | 291/6 |
| 71 | 1 | 292/6 |
| 72 | 5 | 297/6 |
| 73 | 5 | 302/6 |
| 74 | 0 | 302/6 |
| 75 | 4 | 306/6 |
| 76 | 2 | 308/6 |
| 77 | 5 | 313/6 |
| 78 | 2 | 315/6 |
| 79 | 9 | 324/6 |
| 80 | 1 | 325/6 |
| 81 | 3 | 328/8 |
| 82 | 1 | 329/8 |
| 83 | 0 | 329/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marques Ackerman: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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